Recent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Shanghai’s minimum temperature on June 11 will likely settle near 19–21 °C, driven by typical early-summer subtropical high pressure that limits nocturnal cooling while maintaining high humidity and light winds. These conditions produce modest day-to-day variability, with cloud cover or brief showers potentially trimming the overnight low by 1 °C or allowing slightly more radiational cooling. Historical June climatology shows average lows around 20–22 °C, providing a baseline that aligns with current model consensus and explains why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 20 °C. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 11?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 11?
20°C 35%
19°C 26%
21°C 19%
18°C 9.0%
NEW
NEW
Jun 11, 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
9%
19°C
26%
20°C
35%
21°C
19%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 35%
19°C 26%
21°C 19%
18°C 9.0%
NEW
NEW
Jun 11, 2026
14°C or below
$39 Vol.
1%
15°C
$345 Vol.
1%
16°C
$60 Vol.
1%
17°C
$16 Vol.
4%
18°C
$16 Vol.
9%
19°C
$0 Vol.
26%
20°C
$0 Vol.
35%
21°C
$16 Vol.
19%
22°C
$60 Vol.
5%
23°C
$130 Vol.
2%
24°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Shanghai’s minimum temperature on June 11 will likely settle near 19–21 °C, driven by typical early-summer subtropical high pressure that limits nocturnal cooling while maintaining high humidity and light winds. These conditions produce modest day-to-day variability, with cloud cover or brief showers potentially trimming the overnight low by 1 °C or allowing slightly more radiational cooling. Historical June climatology shows average lows around 20–22 °C, providing a baseline that aligns with current model consensus and explains why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 20 °C. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$682End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Shanghai’s minimum temperature on June 11 will likely settle near 19–21 °C, driven by typical early-summer subtropical high pressure that limits nocturnal cooling while maintaining high humidity and light winds. These conditions produce modest day-to-day variability, with cloud cover or brief showers potentially trimming the overnight low by 1 °C or allowing slightly more radiational cooling. Historical June climatology shows average lows around 20–22 °C, providing a baseline that aligns with current model consensus and explains why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 20 °C. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$682End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Shanghai’s minimum temperature on June 11 will likely settle near 19–21 °C, driven by typical early-summer subtropical high pressure that limits nocturnal cooling while maintaining high humidity and light winds. These conditions produce modest day-to-day variability, with cloud cover or brief showers potentially trimming the overnight low by 1 °C or allowing slightly more radiational cooling. Historical June climatology shows average lows around 20–22 °C, providing a baseline that aligns with current model consensus and explains why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 20 °C. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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