Strong model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international guidance supports trader positioning at 97.4% implied probability for a 16°C minimum in Seoul on June 9, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and stable early-summer conditions that align with climatological overnight lows of 14–17°C. These factors limit radiational cooling and prevent colder-air advection, keeping temperatures near the seasonal baseline observed at official stations. Measurement resolves on the lowest reading between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time. A realistic shift below 16°C would require an unforecasted increase in northerly flow or enhanced cloud cover, scenarios that current guidance assigns low probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul on June 9?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on June 9?
16°C 97.4%
15°C 2.6%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$15,379 Vol.
$15,379 Vol.
Jun 9, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
3%
16°C
97%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 97.4%
15°C 2.6%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$15,379 Vol.
$15,379 Vol.
Jun 9, 2026
10°C or below
$683 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$865 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$536 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$637 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$737 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,508 Vol.
3%
16°C
$3,149 Vol.
97%
17°C
$1,658 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,789 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$2,190 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$1,796 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international guidance supports trader positioning at 97.4% implied probability for a 16°C minimum in Seoul on June 9, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and stable early-summer conditions that align with climatological overnight lows of 14–17°C. These factors limit radiational cooling and prevent colder-air advection, keeping temperatures near the seasonal baseline observed at official stations. Measurement resolves on the lowest reading between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time. A realistic shift below 16°C would require an unforecasted increase in northerly flow or enhanced cloud cover, scenarios that current guidance assigns low probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 7, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$15,379End Date
Jun 9, 2026Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international guidance supports trader positioning at 97.4% implied probability for a 16°C minimum in Seoul on June 9, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and stable early-summer conditions that align with climatological overnight lows of 14–17°C. These factors limit radiational cooling and prevent colder-air advection, keeping temperatures near the seasonal baseline observed at official stations. Measurement resolves on the lowest reading between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time. A realistic shift below 16°C would require an unforecasted increase in northerly flow or enhanced cloud cover, scenarios that current guidance assigns low probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,379End Date
Jun 9, 2026Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international guidance supports trader positioning at 97.4% implied probability for a 16°C minimum in Seoul on June 9, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and stable early-summer conditions that align with climatological overnight lows of 14–17°C. These factors limit radiational cooling and prevent colder-air advection, keeping temperatures near the seasonal baseline observed at official stations. Measurement resolves on the lowest reading between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time. A realistic shift below 16°C would require an unforecasted increase in northerly flow or enhanced cloud cover, scenarios that current guidance assigns low probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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