Current short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus models indicate overnight lows near 24–26 °C on June 11, driven by widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling. Seasonal outlooks already call for above-normal temperatures overall, yet the immediate steering pattern and moisture influx from the South China Sea introduce day-to-day variability in minimum readings. These factors create closely matched market-implied odds across the 24–26 °C range, as traders weigh model differences in rainfall timing and urban heat retention against climatological baselines of roughly 26 °C for early June. Updated model runs and the next official briefing will likely refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 11?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 11?
25°C 26%
24°C 23%
26°C 20%
27°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Jun 11, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
23%
25°C
26%
26°C
20%
27°C
19%
28°C
8%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 26%
24°C 23%
26°C 20%
27°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Jun 11, 2026
21°C or below
$46 Vol.
1%
22°C
$20 Vol.
1%
23°C
$5 Vol.
5%
24°C
$19 Vol.
23%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
20%
27°C
$0 Vol.
19%
28°C
$0 Vol.
8%
29°C
$365 Vol.
1%
30°C
$352 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$151 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus models indicate overnight lows near 24–26 °C on June 11, driven by widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling. Seasonal outlooks already call for above-normal temperatures overall, yet the immediate steering pattern and moisture influx from the South China Sea introduce day-to-day variability in minimum readings. These factors create closely matched market-implied odds across the 24–26 °C range, as traders weigh model differences in rainfall timing and urban heat retention against climatological baselines of roughly 26 °C for early June. Updated model runs and the next official briefing will likely refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$953End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus models indicate overnight lows near 24–26 °C on June 11, driven by widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling. Seasonal outlooks already call for above-normal temperatures overall, yet the immediate steering pattern and moisture influx from the South China Sea introduce day-to-day variability in minimum readings. These factors create closely matched market-implied odds across the 24–26 °C range, as traders weigh model differences in rainfall timing and urban heat retention against climatological baselines of roughly 26 °C for early June. Updated model runs and the next official briefing will likely refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$953End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus models indicate overnight lows near 24–26 °C on June 11, driven by widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling. Seasonal outlooks already call for above-normal temperatures overall, yet the immediate steering pattern and moisture influx from the South China Sea introduce day-to-day variability in minimum readings. These factors create closely matched market-implied odds across the 24–26 °C range, as traders weigh model differences in rainfall timing and urban heat retention against climatological baselines of roughly 26 °C for early June. Updated model runs and the next official briefing will likely refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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