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icon for Khamenei # posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?

Khamenei # posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?

icon for Khamenei # posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?

Khamenei # posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?

<5 83%

60+ 50%

55-59 46%

30-34 45%

Polymarket
NEW

<5 83%

60+ 50%

55-59 46%

30-34 45%

Polymarket
NEW

<5

$18 Vol.

65%

5-9

$0 Vol.

24%

10-14

$20 Vol.

26%

15-19

$20 Vol.

24%

20-24

$20 Vol.

24%

25-29

$20 Vol.

24%

30-34

$37 Vol.

45%

35-39

$0 Vol.

1%

40-44

$0 Vol.

1%

45-49

$0 Vol.

1%

50-54

$44 Vol.

1%

55-59

$40 Vol.

46%

60+

$38 Vol.

50%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 12, 12:00 PM ET and June 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Traders heavily favor fewer than five posts from the @khamenei_ir account during June 12–19 because Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was assassinated in late February 2026, after which the official account shifted to occasional statements and archival references attributed to the martyred leader.** Successor Mojtaba Khamenei maintains a lower public profile, with limited new content released through institutional channels. Recent activity shows infrequent updates, consistent with the pattern since the leadership transition and ongoing regional tensions. This limited output drives the strong market consensus around minimal weekly posts, while higher ranges reflect residual uncertainty over possible statements tied to diplomatic or security developments.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 12, 12:00 PM ET and June 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$257
End Date
Jun 19, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 12, 12:00 PM ET and June 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 12, 12:00 PM ET and June 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Traders heavily favor fewer than five posts from the @khamenei_ir account during June 12–19 because Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was assassinated in late February 2026, after which the official account shifted to occasional statements and archival references attributed to the martyred leader.** Successor Mojtaba Khamenei maintains a lower public profile, with limited new content released through institutional channels. Recent activity shows infrequent updates, consistent with the pattern since the leadership transition and ongoing regional tensions. This limited output drives the strong market consensus around minimal weekly posts, while higher ranges reflect residual uncertainty over possible statements tied to diplomatic or security developments.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 12, 12:00 PM ET and June 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$257
End Date
Jun 19, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 12, 12:00 PM ET and June 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Khamenei # posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<5" at 65%, followed by "10-14" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Khamenei # posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Khamenei # posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Khamenei # posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?" is "<5" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "10-14" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Khamenei # posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.