Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in joint U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28, 2026, triggering the first leadership transition since 1989. The Assembly of Experts moved quickly to install his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as successor in early March, preserving hard-line clerical control amid wartime conditions and IRGC influence. This decapitation strike, part of broader military operations, accelerated succession deliberations that had long centered on candidates such as Mojtaba, Alireza Arafi, and others vetted by the clerical body. Ongoing conflict, sanctions pressure, and internal power consolidation continue to shape stability, while any further military escalation or negotiated cease-fire could alter institutional continuity before the market resolution window closes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$17,477,084 Vol.
31 dic 2026
30 de junio
4%
31 de diciembre
19%
$17,477,084 Vol.
30 de junio
$2,977,424 Vol.
4%
31 de diciembre
$2,892,101 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in joint U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28, 2026, triggering the first leadership transition since 1989. The Assembly of Experts moved quickly to install his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as successor in early March, preserving hard-line clerical control amid wartime conditions and IRGC influence. This decapitation strike, part of broader military operations, accelerated succession deliberations that had long centered on candidates such as Mojtaba, Alireza Arafi, and others vetted by the clerical body. Ongoing conflict, sanctions pressure, and internal power consolidation continue to shape stability, while any further military escalation or negotiated cease-fire could alter institutional continuity before the market resolution window closes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ET
Volumen
$17,477,084Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in joint U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28, 2026, triggering the first leadership transition since 1989. The Assembly of Experts moved quickly to install his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as successor in early March, preserving hard-line clerical control amid wartime conditions and IRGC influence. This decapitation strike, part of broader military operations, accelerated succession deliberations that had long centered on candidates such as Mojtaba, Alireza Arafi, and others vetted by the clerical body. Ongoing conflict, sanctions pressure, and internal power consolidation continue to shape stability, while any further military escalation or negotiated cease-fire could alter institutional continuity before the market resolution window closes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$17,477,084Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in joint U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28, 2026, triggering the first leadership transition since 1989. The Assembly of Experts moved quickly to install his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as successor in early March, preserving hard-line clerical control amid wartime conditions and IRGC influence. This decapitation strike, part of broader military operations, accelerated succession deliberations that had long centered on candidates such as Mojtaba, Alireza Arafi, and others vetted by the clerical body. Ongoing conflict, sanctions pressure, and internal power consolidation continue to shape stability, while any further military escalation or negotiated cease-fire could alter institutional continuity before the market resolution window closes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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