Latest numerical weather prediction models, including those from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, indicate a maximum temperature in Warsaw on June 10 near 18°C under partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and possible late-day showers. This forecast consensus drives the near-even market split between 18°C and 19°C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to 17°C or 20°C reflecting ensemble spread from variables such as cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Historical June averages hover around 22°C, but the current synoptic pattern favors cooler conditions. Updated model runs expected overnight will refine the precise peak, as small shifts in timing or intensity can alter the daily high by 1–2°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 10?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 10?
18°C 40%
19°C 37%
17°C 13%
20°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Jun 10, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
13%
18°C
40%
19°C
37%
20°C
9%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 40%
19°C 37%
17°C 13%
20°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Jun 10, 2026
14°C or below
$107 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$366 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$272 Vol.
2%
17°C
$761 Vol.
13%
18°C
$782 Vol.
40%
19°C
$468 Vol.
37%
20°C
$677 Vol.
9%
21°C
$1,588 Vol.
2%
22°C
$1,073 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1,260 Vol.
1%
24°C or higher
$1,110 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including those from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, indicate a maximum temperature in Warsaw on June 10 near 18°C under partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and possible late-day showers. This forecast consensus drives the near-even market split between 18°C and 19°C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to 17°C or 20°C reflecting ensemble spread from variables such as cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Historical June averages hover around 22°C, but the current synoptic pattern favors cooler conditions. Updated model runs expected overnight will refine the precise peak, as small shifts in timing or intensity can alter the daily high by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 8, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$7,968End Date
Jun 10, 2026Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including those from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, indicate a maximum temperature in Warsaw on June 10 near 18°C under partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and possible late-day showers. This forecast consensus drives the near-even market split between 18°C and 19°C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to 17°C or 20°C reflecting ensemble spread from variables such as cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Historical June averages hover around 22°C, but the current synoptic pattern favors cooler conditions. Updated model runs expected overnight will refine the precise peak, as small shifts in timing or intensity can alter the daily high by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,968End Date
Jun 10, 2026Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including those from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, indicate a maximum temperature in Warsaw on June 10 near 18°C under partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and possible late-day showers. This forecast consensus drives the near-even market split between 18°C and 19°C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to 17°C or 20°C reflecting ensemble spread from variables such as cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Historical June averages hover around 22°C, but the current synoptic pattern favors cooler conditions. Updated model runs expected overnight will refine the precise peak, as small shifts in timing or intensity can alter the daily high by 1–2°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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