Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on June 9 indicate cloudy skies with a maximum near 22–24 °C, consistent with early-June climatology under neutral ENSO conditions and moderating onshore flow. This outlook, reinforced by recent model consensus showing limited daytime heating and possible light rain, underpins the overwhelming 97 % market-implied probability for a 22 °C high. Historical records for the first half of June show maxima clustering between 21–26 °C, with cloud cover frequently capping peaks near the lower end of that range. A rapid clearing of skies or stronger southerly flow could still push readings to 24 °C or above, though current guidance assigns low likelihood to such shifts before the daily maximum is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 9?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 9?
22°C 98.6%
23°C 1.6%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$69,379 Vol.
$69,379 Vol.
Jun 9, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
99%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
22°C 98.6%
23°C 1.6%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$69,379 Vol.
$69,379 Vol.
Jun 9, 2026
19°C or below
$4,310 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$5,809 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$14,823 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$9,452 Vol.
99%
23°C
$5,117 Vol.
2%
24°C
$6,625 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$8,790 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$6,726 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$5,879 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,401 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$66 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on June 9 indicate cloudy skies with a maximum near 22–24 °C, consistent with early-June climatology under neutral ENSO conditions and moderating onshore flow. This outlook, reinforced by recent model consensus showing limited daytime heating and possible light rain, underpins the overwhelming 97 % market-implied probability for a 22 °C high. Historical records for the first half of June show maxima clustering between 21–26 °C, with cloud cover frequently capping peaks near the lower end of that range. A rapid clearing of skies or stronger southerly flow could still push readings to 24 °C or above, though current guidance assigns low likelihood to such shifts before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 7, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$69,379End Date
Jun 9, 2026Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on June 9 indicate cloudy skies with a maximum near 22–24 °C, consistent with early-June climatology under neutral ENSO conditions and moderating onshore flow. This outlook, reinforced by recent model consensus showing limited daytime heating and possible light rain, underpins the overwhelming 97 % market-implied probability for a 22 °C high. Historical records for the first half of June show maxima clustering between 21–26 °C, with cloud cover frequently capping peaks near the lower end of that range. A rapid clearing of skies or stronger southerly flow could still push readings to 24 °C or above, though current guidance assigns low likelihood to such shifts before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$69,379End Date
Jun 9, 2026Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on June 9 indicate cloudy skies with a maximum near 22–24 °C, consistent with early-June climatology under neutral ENSO conditions and moderating onshore flow. This outlook, reinforced by recent model consensus showing limited daytime heating and possible light rain, underpins the overwhelming 97 % market-implied probability for a 22 °C high. Historical records for the first half of June show maxima clustering between 21–26 °C, with cloud cover frequently capping peaks near the lower end of that range. A rapid clearing of skies or stronger southerly flow could still push readings to 24 °C or above, though current guidance assigns low likelihood to such shifts before the daily maximum is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions