Recent ensemble forecasts from regional models position afternoon highs in Tel Aviv near 30–31°C on June 9, driven by clear skies, strong June solar insolation, and light synoptic flow allowing efficient boundary-layer heating before the typical sea-breeze onset. Official guidance from monitoring agencies shows only modest day-to-day variability around the early-summer climatological mean of roughly 29°C, keeping 30°C and 31°C as the dominant market outcomes while limiting support for 32°C or higher. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus that favors the upper end of the narrow forecast envelope, with minimal risk of cooler advection or increased cloud cover shifting probabilities toward lower bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 9?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 9?
31°C 49%
30°C 38%
32°C 9%
33°C <1%
$12,839 Vol.
$12,839 Vol.
Jun 9, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
38%
31°C
49%
32°C
9%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 49%
30°C 38%
32°C 9%
33°C <1%
$12,839 Vol.
$12,839 Vol.
Jun 9, 2026
25°C or below
$530 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$459 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,087 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,511 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,675 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,186 Vol.
38%
31°C
$1,687 Vol.
49%
32°C
$1,363 Vol.
9%
33°C
$1,474 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$269 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$574 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from regional models position afternoon highs in Tel Aviv near 30–31°C on June 9, driven by clear skies, strong June solar insolation, and light synoptic flow allowing efficient boundary-layer heating before the typical sea-breeze onset. Official guidance from monitoring agencies shows only modest day-to-day variability around the early-summer climatological mean of roughly 29°C, keeping 30°C and 31°C as the dominant market outcomes while limiting support for 32°C or higher. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus that favors the upper end of the narrow forecast envelope, with minimal risk of cooler advection or increased cloud cover shifting probabilities toward lower bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 7, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$12,839End Date
Jun 9, 2026Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from regional models position afternoon highs in Tel Aviv near 30–31°C on June 9, driven by clear skies, strong June solar insolation, and light synoptic flow allowing efficient boundary-layer heating before the typical sea-breeze onset. Official guidance from monitoring agencies shows only modest day-to-day variability around the early-summer climatological mean of roughly 29°C, keeping 30°C and 31°C as the dominant market outcomes while limiting support for 32°C or higher. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus that favors the upper end of the narrow forecast envelope, with minimal risk of cooler advection or increased cloud cover shifting probabilities toward lower bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,839End Date
Jun 9, 2026Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from regional models position afternoon highs in Tel Aviv near 30–31°C on June 9, driven by clear skies, strong June solar insolation, and light synoptic flow allowing efficient boundary-layer heating before the typical sea-breeze onset. Official guidance from monitoring agencies shows only modest day-to-day variability around the early-summer climatological mean of roughly 29°C, keeping 30°C and 31°C as the dominant market outcomes while limiting support for 32°C or higher. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus that favors the upper end of the narrow forecast envelope, with minimal risk of cooler advection or increased cloud cover shifting probabilities toward lower bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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