Current numerical weather models, including runs from the Israel Meteorological Service, indicate a daily maximum near 29–30 °C in Tel Aviv on June 10 under clear skies, light northerly flow, and typical early-June Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation that caps afternoon heating along the coast. This consensus supports the market’s leading outcomes at 30 °C and 31 °C by positioning the high just above the long-term early-June average while accounting for minor variability in breeze onset and boundary-layer mixing. Recent stable high-pressure ridging over the eastern Mediterranean has prevented stronger warming, keeping probabilities for 32 °C or higher below 7 %. Official IMS observations will resolve the contract once the 24-hour maximum is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 10?
30°C 41%
31°C 27%
29°C 21%
32°C 7%
$17,232 Vol.
$17,232 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
21%
30°C
41%
31°C
27%
32°C
7%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 41%
31°C 27%
29°C 21%
32°C 7%
$17,232 Vol.
$17,232 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
21%
30°C
41%
31°C
27%
32°C
7%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 8, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models, including runs from the Israel Meteorological Service, indicate a daily maximum near 29–30 °C in Tel Aviv on June 10 under clear skies, light northerly flow, and typical early-June Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation that caps afternoon heating along the coast. This consensus supports the market’s leading outcomes at 30 °C and 31 °C by positioning the high just above the long-term early-June average while accounting for minor variability in breeze onset and boundary-layer mixing. Recent stable high-pressure ridging over the eastern Mediterranean has prevented stronger warming, keeping probabilities for 32 °C or higher below 7 %. Official IMS observations will resolve the contract once the 24-hour maximum is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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