Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration project a daily high of 25–26°C for Taipei on June 9 under persistent cloud cover and widespread showers, keeping maximum temperatures capped near this narrow range. Model consensus and historical June climatology in northern Taiwan reinforce this outcome, with typical early-summer instability and monsoon influences suppressing daytime heating. The 97.8% market-implied probability for 26°C reflects this strong observational alignment, though brief clearing or localized convective bursts could push readings 1–2°C higher in isolated areas.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on June 9?
26°C 97.8%
27°C 1.0%
28°C <1%
30°C <1%
$46,902 Vol.
$46,902 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
98%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 97.8%
27°C 1.0%
28°C <1%
30°C <1%
$46,902 Vol.
$46,902 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
98%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 7, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration project a daily high of 25–26°C for Taipei on June 9 under persistent cloud cover and widespread showers, keeping maximum temperatures capped near this narrow range. Model consensus and historical June climatology in northern Taiwan reinforce this outcome, with typical early-summer instability and monsoon influences suppressing daytime heating. The 97.8% market-implied probability for 26°C reflects this strong observational alignment, though brief clearing or localized convective bursts could push readings 1–2°C higher in isolated areas.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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