Recent official forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and the BBC indicate a daily high near 28°C in Shenzhen on June 9, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate northerly winds that limit daytime heating in this subtropical region. Typical early-June conditions feature average highs of 30–31°C, but today's model consensus shows slightly cooler readings due to persistent moisture and reduced solar insolation. These atmospheric factors explain why market-implied odds favor 28°C at 47 percent, followed by 27°C at 31.5 percent and 29°C at 17.5 percent, reflecting trader assessment of forecast uncertainty and the narrow range of expected outcomes before final observations are recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 9?
28°C 53%
27°C 20%
29°C 8%
26°C 5.1%
$100,149 Vol.
$100,149 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
32%
28°C
47%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 53%
27°C 20%
29°C 8%
26°C 5.1%
$100,149 Vol.
$100,149 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
32%
28°C
47%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and the BBC indicate a daily high near 28°C in Shenzhen on June 9, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate northerly winds that limit daytime heating in this subtropical region. Typical early-June conditions feature average highs of 30–31°C, but today's model consensus shows slightly cooler readings due to persistent moisture and reduced solar insolation. These atmospheric factors explain why market-implied odds favor 28°C at 47 percent, followed by 27°C at 31.5 percent and 29°C at 17.5 percent, reflecting trader assessment of forecast uncertainty and the narrow range of expected outcomes before final observations are recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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