Current forecasts from major meteorological agencies indicate Shanghai will reach a daily maximum of 25°C on June 9 under overcast skies with light northeasterly winds and typical early-summer humidity levels near 40-50%. This aligns with climatological averages for the period and the latest model consensus, which shows minimal deviation risk from the 25°C threshold given stable atmospheric conditions and no significant frontal systems or heat advection expected. Trader positioning reflects high confidence in official station measurements resolving at this level, though an unforecasted spike above 26°C from localized urban heat effects or a rapid clearing of cloud cover could still shift the outcome before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 9?
25°C 98.7%
26°C 1.4%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
$118,334 Vol.
$118,334 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
99%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
25°C 98.7%
26°C 1.4%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
$118,334 Vol.
$118,334 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
99%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from major meteorological agencies indicate Shanghai will reach a daily maximum of 25°C on June 9 under overcast skies with light northeasterly winds and typical early-summer humidity levels near 40-50%. This aligns with climatological averages for the period and the latest model consensus, which shows minimal deviation risk from the 25°C threshold given stable atmospheric conditions and no significant frontal systems or heat advection expected. Trader positioning reflects high confidence in official station measurements resolving at this level, though an unforecasted spike above 26°C from localized urban heat effects or a rapid clearing of cloud cover could still shift the outcome before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions