Recent forecast guidance from global models shows Shanghai highs near 30–32°C on June 11 amid the early plum-rain season, with variable cloud cover and scattered showers moderating daytime peaks while high humidity sustains warmth. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in steering flows and timing of any convective activity, keeping 29–31°C outcomes dominant in trader pricing. Historical June averages hover around 27–28°C, but recent years have seen frequent 30°C+ readings before the full monsoon onset. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours, particularly from regional high-resolution systems, will likely tighten the distribution ahead of the daily maximum observation used for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 11?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 11?
30°C 35%
31°C 24%
29°C 22%
32°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Jun 11, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
22%
30°C
35%
31°C
24%
32°C
13%
33°C
4%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 35%
31°C 24%
29°C 22%
32°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Jun 11, 2026
25°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$30 Vol.
1%
27°C
$43 Vol.
1%
28°C
$207 Vol.
4%
29°C
$227 Vol.
22%
30°C
$39 Vol.
35%
31°C
$56 Vol.
24%
32°C
$18 Vol.
13%
33°C
$204 Vol.
4%
34°C
$18 Vol.
3%
35°C or higher
$115 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from global models shows Shanghai highs near 30–32°C on June 11 amid the early plum-rain season, with variable cloud cover and scattered showers moderating daytime peaks while high humidity sustains warmth. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in steering flows and timing of any convective activity, keeping 29–31°C outcomes dominant in trader pricing. Historical June averages hover around 27–28°C, but recent years have seen frequent 30°C+ readings before the full monsoon onset. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours, particularly from regional high-resolution systems, will likely tighten the distribution ahead of the daily maximum observation used for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$941End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from global models shows Shanghai highs near 30–32°C on June 11 amid the early plum-rain season, with variable cloud cover and scattered showers moderating daytime peaks while high humidity sustains warmth. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in steering flows and timing of any convective activity, keeping 29–31°C outcomes dominant in trader pricing. Historical June averages hover around 27–28°C, but recent years have seen frequent 30°C+ readings before the full monsoon onset. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours, particularly from regional high-resolution systems, will likely tighten the distribution ahead of the daily maximum observation used for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$941End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from global models shows Shanghai highs near 30–32°C on June 11 amid the early plum-rain season, with variable cloud cover and scattered showers moderating daytime peaks while high humidity sustains warmth. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in steering flows and timing of any convective activity, keeping 29–31°C outcomes dominant in trader pricing. Historical June averages hover around 27–28°C, but recent years have seen frequent 30°C+ readings before the full monsoon onset. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours, particularly from regional high-resolution systems, will likely tighten the distribution ahead of the daily maximum observation used for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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