Recent meteorological observations and model consensus indicate Sao Paulo is experiencing typical early Southern Hemisphere winter conditions, with daily maximum temperatures fluctuating between 21°C and 24°C over the past week amid reduced solar insolation and occasional cold front passages. These patterns position 24°C and 25°C as the leading market-implied outcomes at 40.5% and 24.5%, respectively, reflecting trader assessment of forecast guidance from agencies like the Brazilian meteorological service showing potential for modest warming or stability around the long-term June average high of 22–23°C. Upcoming official station data from primary urban monitoring sites on June 10 will resolve the market based on the recorded peak temperature.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 10?
24°C 36%
25°C 25%
23°C 17%
22°C 11%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
11%
23°C
17%
24°C
36%
25°C
25%
26°C
7%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 36%
25°C 25%
23°C 17%
22°C 11%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
11%
23°C
17%
24°C
36%
25°C
25%
26°C
7%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 8, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological observations and model consensus indicate Sao Paulo is experiencing typical early Southern Hemisphere winter conditions, with daily maximum temperatures fluctuating between 21°C and 24°C over the past week amid reduced solar insolation and occasional cold front passages. These patterns position 24°C and 25°C as the leading market-implied outcomes at 40.5% and 24.5%, respectively, reflecting trader assessment of forecast guidance from agencies like the Brazilian meteorological service showing potential for modest warming or stability around the long-term June average high of 22–23°C. Upcoming official station data from primary urban monitoring sites on June 10 will resolve the market based on the recorded peak temperature.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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