The dominant market consensus on a 64-65°F high for San Francisco on June 8 stems from the official National Weather Service observation of a 65°F maximum at San Francisco International Airport, aligning precisely with the resolution bin. Coastal marine layer influence and typical early-June “June Gloom” conditions suppressed daytime warming, keeping temperatures near seasonal norms of 68-71°F despite regional variability. This outcome reflects verified station data rather than models, with minimal upside potential from inland heating or offshore flow. Traders priced near-certainty because deviations would require atypical synoptic patterns not observed that day. Resolution now hinges solely on final NWS climatological confirmation, underscoring how localized marine effects reliably anchor San Francisco’s temperature extremes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in San Francisco on June 8?
64-65°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$29,617 Vol.
$29,617 Vol.
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
100%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
<1%
64-65°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$29,617 Vol.
$29,617 Vol.
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
100%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 6, 2026, 9:07 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...The dominant market consensus on a 64-65°F high for San Francisco on June 8 stems from the official National Weather Service observation of a 65°F maximum at San Francisco International Airport, aligning precisely with the resolution bin. Coastal marine layer influence and typical early-June “June Gloom” conditions suppressed daytime warming, keeping temperatures near seasonal norms of 68-71°F despite regional variability. This outcome reflects verified station data rather than models, with minimal upside potential from inland heating or offshore flow. Traders priced near-certainty because deviations would require atypical synoptic patterns not observed that day. Resolution now hinges solely on final NWS climatological confirmation, underscoring how localized marine effects reliably anchor San Francisco’s temperature extremes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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