Recent National Weather Service model runs and ensemble guidance indicate moderate warming for San Francisco on June 10 under weakening onshore flow and partial marine layer clearance, driving tight trader clustering around the 72–75°F brackets. Coastal temperatures remain sensitive to the Pacific marine layer, which typically caps daily highs near the long-term June average of 67°F at KSFO; any offshore wind shift or reduced fog can add 5–8°F. Official forecasts emphasize uncertainty in exact cloud timing and wind direction, with resolution hinging on the maximum reading from the NWS climatological report. New model updates tonight will likely refine the outlook ahead of tomorrow’s peak heating window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in San Francisco on June 10?
72-73°F 28%
74-75°F 28%
76-77°F 16%
71°F or below 13%
71°F or below
13%
72-73°F
28%
74-75°F
28%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 28%
74-75°F 28%
76-77°F 16%
71°F or below 13%
71°F or below
13%
72-73°F
28%
74-75°F
28%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 8, 2026, 10:14 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service model runs and ensemble guidance indicate moderate warming for San Francisco on June 10 under weakening onshore flow and partial marine layer clearance, driving tight trader clustering around the 72–75°F brackets. Coastal temperatures remain sensitive to the Pacific marine layer, which typically caps daily highs near the long-term June average of 67°F at KSFO; any offshore wind shift or reduced fog can add 5–8°F. Official forecasts emphasize uncertainty in exact cloud timing and wind direction, with resolution hinging on the maximum reading from the NWS climatological report. New model updates tonight will likely refine the outlook ahead of tomorrow’s peak heating window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions