Recent meteorological forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow will reach a daily maximum near 27–28°C on June 9 under fair to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation, positioning these outcomes as the market leaders. June climatology shows average highs around 22°C, so current conditions reflect a modest positive anomaly driven by high-pressure ridging rather than an intense heat episode. Official guidance notes limited model spread on peak values, with resolution hinging on precise 24-hour maximum readings at central Moscow stations; any late-day convection or stronger advection could shift the outcome by 1–2°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on June 9?
27°C 48%
28°C 34%
29°C 9%
26°C 5%
$19,599 Vol.
$19,599 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
48%
28°C
34%
29°C
12%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 48%
28°C 34%
29°C 9%
26°C 5%
$19,599 Vol.
$19,599 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
48%
28°C
34%
29°C
12%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 7, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow will reach a daily maximum near 27–28°C on June 9 under fair to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation, positioning these outcomes as the market leaders. June climatology shows average highs around 22°C, so current conditions reflect a modest positive anomaly driven by high-pressure ridging rather than an intense heat episode. Official guidance notes limited model spread on peak values, with resolution hinging on precise 24-hour maximum readings at central Moscow stations; any late-day convection or stronger advection could shift the outcome by 1–2°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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