Official meteorological observations for Mexico City on June 8 recorded a daily maximum temperature of 24°C at the primary reporting station, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain outcome. This measurement, drawn from standardized surface observations under consistent elevation and urban heat-island conditions typical for the Valley of Mexico, matches climatological norms for early June when daytime highs commonly range 22–26°C. With resolution hinging on verified station data rather than models or forecasts, the 100% implied probability reflects traders’ assessment that no alternative source or revision will alter the recorded peak. Minor uncertainty remains only if post-event quality-control adjustments occur, though historical precedent shows such changes are rare for this location and timeframe.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on June 8?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on June 8?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$26,746 Vol.
$26,746 Vol.
Jun 8, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$26,746 Vol.
$26,746 Vol.
Jun 8, 2026
18°C or below
$138 Vol.
No
19°C
$999 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,476 Vol.
No
21°C
$3,635 Vol.
No
22°C
$4,642 Vol.
No
23°C
$3,402 Vol.
No
24°C
$3,871 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$2,411 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,202 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,227 Vol.
No
28°C or higher
$743 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations for Mexico City on June 8 recorded a daily maximum temperature of 24°C at the primary reporting station, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain outcome. This measurement, drawn from standardized surface observations under consistent elevation and urban heat-island conditions typical for the Valley of Mexico, matches climatological norms for early June when daytime highs commonly range 22–26°C. With resolution hinging on verified station data rather than models or forecasts, the 100% implied probability reflects traders’ assessment that no alternative source or revision will alter the recorded peak. Minor uncertainty remains only if post-event quality-control adjustments occur, though historical precedent shows such changes are rare for this location and timeframe.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 6, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
Volume
$26,746End Date
Jun 8, 2026Market Opened
Jun 6, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations for Mexico City on June 8 recorded a daily maximum temperature of 24°C at the primary reporting station, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain outcome. This measurement, drawn from standardized surface observations under consistent elevation and urban heat-island conditions typical for the Valley of Mexico, matches climatological norms for early June when daytime highs commonly range 22–26°C. With resolution hinging on verified station data rather than models or forecasts, the 100% implied probability reflects traders’ assessment that no alternative source or revision will alter the recorded peak. Minor uncertainty remains only if post-event quality-control adjustments occur, though historical precedent shows such changes are rare for this location and timeframe.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$26,746End Date
Jun 8, 2026Market Opened
Jun 6, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official meteorological observations for Mexico City on June 8 recorded a daily maximum temperature of 24°C at the primary reporting station, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain outcome. This measurement, drawn from standardized surface observations under consistent elevation and urban heat-island conditions typical for the Valley of Mexico, matches climatological norms for early June when daytime highs commonly range 22–26°C. With resolution hinging on verified station data rather than models or forecasts, the 100% implied probability reflects traders’ assessment that no alternative source or revision will alter the recorded peak. Minor uncertainty remains only if post-event quality-control adjustments occur, though historical precedent shows such changes are rare for this location and timeframe.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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