Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum of 32–33°C on June 9 under clear, sunny skies and stable high-pressure conditions typical of early summer in central Spain. These readings sit several degrees above long-term early-June averages near 28–29°C, driven by warm advection and minimal cloud cover that limits overnight cooling. Model consensus shows limited spread, with only modest potential for localized peaks near 34°C if daytime heating exceeds expectations. This meteorological setup underpins the market’s strong clustering around 32°C and 33°C outcomes, while lower and higher extremes remain improbable barring unexpected shifts in the steering flow.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Madrid on June 9?
33°C 56%
32°C 36%
34°C 6.1%
31°C 2.3%
$37,303 Vol.
$37,303 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
36%
33°C
56%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 56%
32°C 36%
34°C 6.1%
31°C 2.3%
$37,303 Vol.
$37,303 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
36%
33°C
56%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 7, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum of 32–33°C on June 9 under clear, sunny skies and stable high-pressure conditions typical of early summer in central Spain. These readings sit several degrees above long-term early-June averages near 28–29°C, driven by warm advection and minimal cloud cover that limits overnight cooling. Model consensus shows limited spread, with only modest potential for localized peaks near 34°C if daytime heating exceeds expectations. This meteorological setup underpins the market’s strong clustering around 32°C and 33°C outcomes, while lower and higher extremes remain improbable barring unexpected shifts in the steering flow.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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