India Meteorological Department forecasts a maximum of 41°C for Lucknow on June 9 under clear skies, establishing the primary driver behind the 63.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Early June pre-monsoon conditions in the Indo-Gangetic plain typically feature intense solar insolation and low humidity, producing daily highs in the 38–42°C range, with recent observations near 40°C reinforcing this baseline. Model consensus and absence of significant moisture influx or wind shifts limit upside potential, though minor forecast revisions could still shift resolution within the narrow 41–42°C bands favored by traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on June 9?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 9?
41°C 66%
42°C 27%
43°C 8%
40°C or below 6%
$20,431 Vol.
$20,431 Vol.
Jun 9, 2026
40°C or below
6%
41°C
66%
42°C
32%
43°C
8%
44°C
1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C or higher
<1%
41°C 66%
42°C 27%
43°C 8%
40°C or below 6%
$20,431 Vol.
$20,431 Vol.
Jun 9, 2026
40°C or below
$5,649 Vol.
6%
41°C
$1,636 Vol.
66%
42°C
$1,357 Vol.
32%
43°C
$2,278 Vol.
8%
44°C
$4,113 Vol.
1%
45°C
$1,009 Vol.
<1%
46°C
$1,035 Vol.
<1%
47°C
$1,429 Vol.
<1%
48°C
$1,223 Vol.
<1%
49°C
$440 Vol.
<1%
50°C or higher
$380 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.India Meteorological Department forecasts a maximum of 41°C for Lucknow on June 9 under clear skies, establishing the primary driver behind the 63.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Early June pre-monsoon conditions in the Indo-Gangetic plain typically feature intense solar insolation and low humidity, producing daily highs in the 38–42°C range, with recent observations near 40°C reinforcing this baseline. Model consensus and absence of significant moisture influx or wind shifts limit upside potential, though minor forecast revisions could still shift resolution within the narrow 41–42°C bands favored by traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volume
$20,431End Date
Jun 9, 2026Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.India Meteorological Department forecasts a maximum of 41°C for Lucknow on June 9 under clear skies, establishing the primary driver behind the 63.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Early June pre-monsoon conditions in the Indo-Gangetic plain typically feature intense solar insolation and low humidity, producing daily highs in the 38–42°C range, with recent observations near 40°C reinforcing this baseline. Model consensus and absence of significant moisture influx or wind shifts limit upside potential, though minor forecast revisions could still shift resolution within the narrow 41–42°C bands favored by traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,431End Date
Jun 9, 2026Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department forecasts a maximum of 41°C for Lucknow on June 9 under clear skies, establishing the primary driver behind the 63.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Early June pre-monsoon conditions in the Indo-Gangetic plain typically feature intense solar insolation and low humidity, producing daily highs in the 38–42°C range, with recent observations near 40°C reinforcing this baseline. Model consensus and absence of significant moisture influx or wind shifts limit upside potential, though minor forecast revisions could still shift resolution within the narrow 41–42°C bands favored by traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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