Recent official forecasts from regional meteorological agencies point to a June 9 maximum near 36°C in Karachi, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging over Sindh and typical pre-monsoon conditions that limit cloud cover and allow strong daytime heating. The city's coastal setting and sea-breeze circulation have historically capped extremes at this level during early June, aligning with climatological averages around 34–37°C and explaining the market's overwhelming 99.7% implied probability for the 36°C bucket. Minor model spreads or localized wind shifts could nudge the actual peak into adjacent bins, but absent an unexpected surge in continental heat advection or delayed marine influence, the consensus outcome remains strongly supported by current observational trends and ensemble guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on June 9?
Highest temperature in Karachi on June 9?
36°C 99.8%
40°C or higher <1%
38°C <1%
30°C or below <1%
$26,981 Vol.
$26,981 Vol.
Jun 9, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
100%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
36°C 99.8%
40°C or higher <1%
38°C <1%
30°C or below <1%
$26,981 Vol.
$26,981 Vol.
Jun 9, 2026
30°C or below
$273 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$672 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,689 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,349 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,260 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$4,898 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$5,750 Vol.
100%
37°C
$3,674 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$4,976 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$2,329 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$1,903 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from regional meteorological agencies point to a June 9 maximum near 36°C in Karachi, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging over Sindh and typical pre-monsoon conditions that limit cloud cover and allow strong daytime heating. The city's coastal setting and sea-breeze circulation have historically capped extremes at this level during early June, aligning with climatological averages around 34–37°C and explaining the market's overwhelming 99.7% implied probability for the 36°C bucket. Minor model spreads or localized wind shifts could nudge the actual peak into adjacent bins, but absent an unexpected surge in continental heat advection or delayed marine influence, the consensus outcome remains strongly supported by current observational trends and ensemble guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volume
$26,981End Date
Jun 9, 2026Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from regional meteorological agencies point to a June 9 maximum near 36°C in Karachi, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging over Sindh and typical pre-monsoon conditions that limit cloud cover and allow strong daytime heating. The city's coastal setting and sea-breeze circulation have historically capped extremes at this level during early June, aligning with climatological averages around 34–37°C and explaining the market's overwhelming 99.7% implied probability for the 36°C bucket. Minor model spreads or localized wind shifts could nudge the actual peak into adjacent bins, but absent an unexpected surge in continental heat advection or delayed marine influence, the consensus outcome remains strongly supported by current observational trends and ensemble guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$26,981End Date
Jun 9, 2026Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from regional meteorological agencies point to a June 9 maximum near 36°C in Karachi, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging over Sindh and typical pre-monsoon conditions that limit cloud cover and allow strong daytime heating. The city's coastal setting and sea-breeze circulation have historically capped extremes at this level during early June, aligning with climatological averages around 34–37°C and explaining the market's overwhelming 99.7% implied probability for the 36°C bucket. Minor model spreads or localized wind shifts could nudge the actual peak into adjacent bins, but absent an unexpected surge in continental heat advection or delayed marine influence, the consensus outcome remains strongly supported by current observational trends and ensemble guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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