Latest global forecast models, including runs from the UK Met Office, indicate a daytime maximum in Jeddah on June 11 most likely between 37°C and 39°C under clear skies and light northwesterly flow typical of the Red Sea coast. This aligns with mid-June climatology, where average highs at King Abdulaziz International Airport hover around 36–38°C and routinely exceed 38°C. The 47.5% market-implied probability for 38°C or higher captures the balance between these historical patterns and modest model uncertainty in peak timing or local sea-breeze effects, while the 24.5% on exactly 37°C reflects the chance of a slightly cooler outcome if onshore flow strengthens. No significant weather systems are expected to alter the baseline hot, dry conditions before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on June 11?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on June 11?
38°C or higher 46%
37°C 28%
36°C 8%
35°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Jun 11, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
3%
35°C
5%
36°C
8%
37°C
28%
38°C or higher
46%
38°C or higher 46%
37°C 28%
36°C 8%
35°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Jun 11, 2026
28°C or below
$99 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
1%
32°C
$30 Vol.
1%
33°C
$30 Vol.
1%
34°C
$0 Vol.
3%
35°C
$0 Vol.
5%
36°C
$0 Vol.
8%
37°C
$5 Vol.
28%
38°C or higher
$35 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest global forecast models, including runs from the UK Met Office, indicate a daytime maximum in Jeddah on June 11 most likely between 37°C and 39°C under clear skies and light northwesterly flow typical of the Red Sea coast. This aligns with mid-June climatology, where average highs at King Abdulaziz International Airport hover around 36–38°C and routinely exceed 38°C. The 47.5% market-implied probability for 38°C or higher captures the balance between these historical patterns and modest model uncertainty in peak timing or local sea-breeze effects, while the 24.5% on exactly 37°C reflects the chance of a slightly cooler outcome if onshore flow strengthens. No significant weather systems are expected to alter the baseline hot, dry conditions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 1:09 AM ET
Volume
$199End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 1:09 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest global forecast models, including runs from the UK Met Office, indicate a daytime maximum in Jeddah on June 11 most likely between 37°C and 39°C under clear skies and light northwesterly flow typical of the Red Sea coast. This aligns with mid-June climatology, where average highs at King Abdulaziz International Airport hover around 36–38°C and routinely exceed 38°C. The 47.5% market-implied probability for 38°C or higher captures the balance between these historical patterns and modest model uncertainty in peak timing or local sea-breeze effects, while the 24.5% on exactly 37°C reflects the chance of a slightly cooler outcome if onshore flow strengthens. No significant weather systems are expected to alter the baseline hot, dry conditions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$199End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 1:09 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest global forecast models, including runs from the UK Met Office, indicate a daytime maximum in Jeddah on June 11 most likely between 37°C and 39°C under clear skies and light northwesterly flow typical of the Red Sea coast. This aligns with mid-June climatology, where average highs at King Abdulaziz International Airport hover around 36–38°C and routinely exceed 38°C. The 47.5% market-implied probability for 38°C or higher captures the balance between these historical patterns and modest model uncertainty in peak timing or local sea-breeze effects, while the 24.5% on exactly 37°C reflects the chance of a slightly cooler outcome if onshore flow strengthens. No significant weather systems are expected to alter the baseline hot, dry conditions before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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