Jeddah’s early June climatology, driven by its hot desert (BWh) regime and persistent high-pressure systems over western Saudi Arabia, routinely produces daily maximum temperatures of 37–40 °C, with historical averages near 38 °C and frequent peaks above that threshold. Current model guidance and long-range outlooks for June 10 align with this baseline, showing clear skies, light winds, and minimal cloud cover that favor strong daytime heating. The 96.3 % market-implied probability for 37 °C or higher therefore reflects the low likelihood of any atypical cooling mechanism—such as an unseasonal marine layer or widespread cloudiness—materializing within the next 24 hours. Only a substantial forecast revision or localized measurement anomaly would meaningfully shift that consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on June 10?
37°C or higher 96.2%
36°C 4.0%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
96%
37°C or higher 96.2%
36°C 4.0%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
96%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jeddah’s early June climatology, driven by its hot desert (BWh) regime and persistent high-pressure systems over western Saudi Arabia, routinely produces daily maximum temperatures of 37–40 °C, with historical averages near 38 °C and frequent peaks above that threshold. Current model guidance and long-range outlooks for June 10 align with this baseline, showing clear skies, light winds, and minimal cloud cover that favor strong daytime heating. The 96.3 % market-implied probability for 37 °C or higher therefore reflects the low likelihood of any atypical cooling mechanism—such as an unseasonal marine layer or widespread cloudiness—materializing within the next 24 hours. Only a substantial forecast revision or localized measurement anomaly would meaningfully shift that consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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