Numerical weather models from major forecasting centers currently project a daytime maximum of 23–24°C in Istanbul on June 9, driven by moderate northerly flow, partial cloud cover limiting insolation, and the strong thermal moderating effect of the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara. These conditions produce a narrow range around typical early-June climatology, where historical averages reach 24–26°C but daily variability often spans 2–3°C depending on exact timing of cloud breaks and wind shifts. Trader consensus reflects this tight uncertainty band, with the 23°C and 24°C outcomes trading near parity as models show minor disagreements on peak timing and marine layer influence. Updated runs later today or overnight observations could refine the final recorded high before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 9?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 9?
24°C 51%
23°C 37%
25°C 9%
26°C <1%
$13,891 Vol.
$13,891 Vol.
Jun 9, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
37%
24°C
51%
25°C
9%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 51%
23°C 37%
25°C 9%
26°C <1%
$13,891 Vol.
$13,891 Vol.
Jun 9, 2026
18°C or below
$1,299 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$254 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$868 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,887 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,273 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,127 Vol.
37%
24°C
$660 Vol.
51%
25°C
$483 Vol.
9%
26°C
$893 Vol.
1%
27°C
$535 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$715 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Numerical weather models from major forecasting centers currently project a daytime maximum of 23–24°C in Istanbul on June 9, driven by moderate northerly flow, partial cloud cover limiting insolation, and the strong thermal moderating effect of the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara. These conditions produce a narrow range around typical early-June climatology, where historical averages reach 24–26°C but daily variability often spans 2–3°C depending on exact timing of cloud breaks and wind shifts. Trader consensus reflects this tight uncertainty band, with the 23°C and 24°C outcomes trading near parity as models show minor disagreements on peak timing and marine layer influence. Updated runs later today or overnight observations could refine the final recorded high before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 7, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$13,891End Date
Jun 9, 2026Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Numerical weather models from major forecasting centers currently project a daytime maximum of 23–24°C in Istanbul on June 9, driven by moderate northerly flow, partial cloud cover limiting insolation, and the strong thermal moderating effect of the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara. These conditions produce a narrow range around typical early-June climatology, where historical averages reach 24–26°C but daily variability often spans 2–3°C depending on exact timing of cloud breaks and wind shifts. Trader consensus reflects this tight uncertainty band, with the 23°C and 24°C outcomes trading near parity as models show minor disagreements on peak timing and marine layer influence. Updated runs later today or overnight observations could refine the final recorded high before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,891End Date
Jun 9, 2026Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Numerical weather models from major forecasting centers currently project a daytime maximum of 23–24°C in Istanbul on June 9, driven by moderate northerly flow, partial cloud cover limiting insolation, and the strong thermal moderating effect of the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara. These conditions produce a narrow range around typical early-June climatology, where historical averages reach 24–26°C but daily variability often spans 2–3°C depending on exact timing of cloud breaks and wind shifts. Trader consensus reflects this tight uncertainty band, with the 23°C and 24°C outcomes trading near parity as models show minor disagreements on peak timing and marine layer influence. Updated runs later today or overnight observations could refine the final recorded high before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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