Latest short-range ensemble forecasts from global models converge on a daytime maximum of 24–25°C for Istanbul on June 11, driven by moderate northerly flow, stable subsidence, and limited insolation under partly cloudy skies. This positions outcomes slightly below the early-June climatological average high near 26°C, with minimal diurnal heating expected from suppressed moisture and light winds. Model spread remains narrow at this lead time, though minor shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could still nudge the peak by 1–2°C before resolution. Traders are weighting these consensus signals heavily given the proximity to the observation window and official Turkish Meteorological Service verification criteria.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 11?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 11?
24°C 34%
25°C 30%
26°C 14%
23°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Jun 11, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
8%
24°C
34%
25°C
30%
26°C
14%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
3%
24°C 34%
25°C 30%
26°C 14%
23°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Jun 11, 2026
18°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$5 Vol.
1%
21°C
$30 Vol.
1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
3%
23°C
$21 Vol.
8%
24°C
$35 Vol.
34%
25°C
$0 Vol.
30%
26°C
$0 Vol.
14%
27°C
$15 Vol.
5%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range ensemble forecasts from global models converge on a daytime maximum of 24–25°C for Istanbul on June 11, driven by moderate northerly flow, stable subsidence, and limited insolation under partly cloudy skies. This positions outcomes slightly below the early-June climatological average high near 26°C, with minimal diurnal heating expected from suppressed moisture and light winds. Model spread remains narrow at this lead time, though minor shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could still nudge the peak by 1–2°C before resolution. Traders are weighting these consensus signals heavily given the proximity to the observation window and official Turkish Meteorological Service verification criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 1:14 AM ET
Volume
$116End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 1:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range ensemble forecasts from global models converge on a daytime maximum of 24–25°C for Istanbul on June 11, driven by moderate northerly flow, stable subsidence, and limited insolation under partly cloudy skies. This positions outcomes slightly below the early-June climatological average high near 26°C, with minimal diurnal heating expected from suppressed moisture and light winds. Model spread remains narrow at this lead time, though minor shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could still nudge the peak by 1–2°C before resolution. Traders are weighting these consensus signals heavily given the proximity to the observation window and official Turkish Meteorological Service verification criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$116End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 1:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range ensemble forecasts from global models converge on a daytime maximum of 24–25°C for Istanbul on June 11, driven by moderate northerly flow, stable subsidence, and limited insolation under partly cloudy skies. This positions outcomes slightly below the early-June climatological average high near 26°C, with minimal diurnal heating expected from suppressed moisture and light winds. Model spread remains narrow at this lead time, though minor shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could still nudge the peak by 1–2°C before resolution. Traders are weighting these consensus signals heavily given the proximity to the observation window and official Turkish Meteorological Service verification criteria.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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