Latest high-resolution numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a daytime maximum near 24–25°C for Istanbul on June 10, aligning with the market’s closely matched leading outcomes at those levels. Moderate northeasterly winds, stable atmospheric conditions, and partly cloudy skies are limiting solar heating and keeping temperatures close to seasonal climatological norms of 25–26°C. Minor model spread around cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing creates the tight distribution between 23°C and 26°C brackets, with any late-day clearing or slight wind shift potentially pushing the peak higher. Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 10?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 10?
25°C 36%
24°C 32%
23°C 16%
26°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Jun 10, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
16%
24°C
32%
25°C
36%
26°C
13%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
25°C 36%
24°C 32%
23°C 16%
26°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Jun 10, 2026
18°C or below
$1,417 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$796 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$211 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$211 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$241 Vol.
3%
23°C
$362 Vol.
16%
24°C
$254 Vol.
32%
25°C
$237 Vol.
36%
26°C
$140 Vol.
13%
27°C
$203 Vol.
2%
28°C or higher
$467 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest high-resolution numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a daytime maximum near 24–25°C for Istanbul on June 10, aligning with the market’s closely matched leading outcomes at those levels. Moderate northeasterly winds, stable atmospheric conditions, and partly cloudy skies are limiting solar heating and keeping temperatures close to seasonal climatological norms of 25–26°C. Minor model spread around cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing creates the tight distribution between 23°C and 26°C brackets, with any late-day clearing or slight wind shift potentially pushing the peak higher. Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 8, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$4,512End Date
Jun 10, 2026Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest high-resolution numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a daytime maximum near 24–25°C for Istanbul on June 10, aligning with the market’s closely matched leading outcomes at those levels. Moderate northeasterly winds, stable atmospheric conditions, and partly cloudy skies are limiting solar heating and keeping temperatures close to seasonal climatological norms of 25–26°C. Minor model spread around cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing creates the tight distribution between 23°C and 26°C brackets, with any late-day clearing or slight wind shift potentially pushing the peak higher. Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,512End Date
Jun 10, 2026Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest high-resolution numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a daytime maximum near 24–25°C for Istanbul on June 10, aligning with the market’s closely matched leading outcomes at those levels. Moderate northeasterly winds, stable atmospheric conditions, and partly cloudy skies are limiting solar heating and keeping temperatures close to seasonal climatological norms of 25–26°C. Minor model spread around cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing creates the tight distribution between 23°C and 26°C brackets, with any late-day clearing or slight wind shift potentially pushing the peak higher. Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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