Current forecast models from meteorological agencies point to typical early-summer subtropical conditions in Guangzhou, with daytime highs expected near 31–33 °C on June 11 amid moderate humidity, variable cloud cover, and light steering winds that limit rapid warming. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, keeping the market-implied odds tightly matched between 32 °C and 33 °C while assigning lower probability to 34 °C or higher absent a stronger high-pressure ridge or clearer skies. Historical June averages hover around 32 °C, providing a baseline that traders weigh against any short-term shifts in moisture or diurnal heating patterns ahead of final model updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on June 11?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 11?
33°C 29%
32°C 28%
31°C 19%
34°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Jun 11, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
3%
31°C
19%
32°C
28%
33°C
29%
34°C
16%
35°C
7%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 29%
32°C 28%
31°C 19%
34°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Jun 11, 2026
27°C or below
$460 Vol.
1%
28°C
$277 Vol.
1%
29°C
$36 Vol.
4%
30°C
$0 Vol.
3%
31°C
$87 Vol.
19%
32°C
$119 Vol.
28%
33°C
$10 Vol.
29%
34°C
$0 Vol.
16%
35°C
$10 Vol.
7%
36°C
$215 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from meteorological agencies point to typical early-summer subtropical conditions in Guangzhou, with daytime highs expected near 31–33 °C on June 11 amid moderate humidity, variable cloud cover, and light steering winds that limit rapid warming. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, keeping the market-implied odds tightly matched between 32 °C and 33 °C while assigning lower probability to 34 °C or higher absent a stronger high-pressure ridge or clearer skies. Historical June averages hover around 32 °C, providing a baseline that traders weigh against any short-term shifts in moisture or diurnal heating patterns ahead of final model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Volume
$1,000End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from meteorological agencies point to typical early-summer subtropical conditions in Guangzhou, with daytime highs expected near 31–33 °C on June 11 amid moderate humidity, variable cloud cover, and light steering winds that limit rapid warming. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, keeping the market-implied odds tightly matched between 32 °C and 33 °C while assigning lower probability to 34 °C or higher absent a stronger high-pressure ridge or clearer skies. Historical June averages hover around 32 °C, providing a baseline that traders weigh against any short-term shifts in moisture or diurnal heating patterns ahead of final model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,000End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from meteorological agencies point to typical early-summer subtropical conditions in Guangzhou, with daytime highs expected near 31–33 °C on June 11 amid moderate humidity, variable cloud cover, and light steering winds that limit rapid warming. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, keeping the market-implied odds tightly matched between 32 °C and 33 °C while assigning lower probability to 34 °C or higher absent a stronger high-pressure ridge or clearer skies. Historical June averages hover around 32 °C, providing a baseline that traders weigh against any short-term shifts in moisture or diurnal heating patterns ahead of final model updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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