Recent short-range numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration project a daily maximum of 24–25°C in Chongqing on June 9, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers that reduce solar insolation and limit convective heating. This consensus aligns with the market’s 96.1% implied probability for 25°C. Historical June climatology shows typical highs of 28–30°C, but current steering patterns and moisture profiles favor suppressed maxima. A rapid clearing of cloud decks or lighter precipitation than modeled could allow temperatures to reach 26°C or above, though ensemble guidance currently assigns low odds to such outcomes. Updated model runs and observational data through the morning will refine this assessment ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on June 9?
25°C 96.5%
26°C 2.9%
29°C <1%
27°C <1%
$84,652 Vol.
$84,652 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
97%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 96.5%
26°C 2.9%
29°C <1%
27°C <1%
$84,652 Vol.
$84,652 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
97%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 7, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration project a daily maximum of 24–25°C in Chongqing on June 9, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers that reduce solar insolation and limit convective heating. This consensus aligns with the market’s 96.1% implied probability for 25°C. Historical June climatology shows typical highs of 28–30°C, but current steering patterns and moisture profiles favor suppressed maxima. A rapid clearing of cloud decks or lighter precipitation than modeled could allow temperatures to reach 26°C or above, though ensemble guidance currently assigns low odds to such outcomes. Updated model runs and observational data through the morning will refine this assessment ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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