Current forecasts from meteorological agencies place Chengdu’s June 9 high near 29°C under typical early-summer subtropical conditions, with moderate humidity and light southerly flow limiting afternoon warming. Historical climatology shows early-June daily maxima averaging 28–30°C, and the latest model guidance aligns closely with this baseline rather than signaling an anomalous heat surge or cooling front. Trader consensus, reflected in the dominant 29°C and 30°C shares, incorporates this model agreement while assigning low probability to outliers above 31°C, consistent with the narrow historical range for the date and the absence of strong high-pressure development or clear-sky amplification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 9?
30°C 84%
29°C 61%
31°C 13.0%
32°C <1%
$36,830 Vol.
$36,830 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
61%
30°C
84%
31°C
13%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
30°C 84%
29°C 61%
31°C 13.0%
32°C <1%
$36,830 Vol.
$36,830 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
61%
30°C
84%
31°C
13%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological agencies place Chengdu’s June 9 high near 29°C under typical early-summer subtropical conditions, with moderate humidity and light southerly flow limiting afternoon warming. Historical climatology shows early-June daily maxima averaging 28–30°C, and the latest model guidance aligns closely with this baseline rather than signaling an anomalous heat surge or cooling front. Trader consensus, reflected in the dominant 29°C and 30°C shares, incorporates this model agreement while assigning low probability to outliers above 31°C, consistent with the narrow historical range for the date and the absence of strong high-pressure development or clear-sky amplification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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