Recent official forecasts place Beijing's June 11 high near 31–32°C under mostly sunny conditions with light northwesterly winds, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those two outcomes. Early June climatology shows average daily maxima of 30–32°C as the summer monsoon begins, with small day-to-day swings driven by shortwave troughs, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects that can shift peak readings by 1°C. Model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles shows limited spread at this two-day lead time, with any deviation likely tied to afternoon cloud development or slight wind shifts that would favor the lower or higher of the two leading thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on June 11?
Highest temperature in Beijing on June 11?
32°C 32%
31°C 31%
30°C 15%
33°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Jun 11, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
15%
31°C
31%
32°C
32%
33°C
9%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 32%
31°C 31%
30°C 15%
33°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Jun 11, 2026
27°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$85 Vol.
3%
29°C
$5 Vol.
6%
30°C
$63 Vol.
15%
31°C
$86 Vol.
31%
32°C
$98 Vol.
32%
33°C
$322 Vol.
9%
34°C
$325 Vol.
3%
35°C
$114 Vol.
2%
36°C
$1,091 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts place Beijing's June 11 high near 31–32°C under mostly sunny conditions with light northwesterly winds, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those two outcomes. Early June climatology shows average daily maxima of 30–32°C as the summer monsoon begins, with small day-to-day swings driven by shortwave troughs, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects that can shift peak readings by 1°C. Model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles shows limited spread at this two-day lead time, with any deviation likely tied to afternoon cloud development or slight wind shifts that would favor the lower or higher of the two leading thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$2,023End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts place Beijing's June 11 high near 31–32°C under mostly sunny conditions with light northwesterly winds, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those two outcomes. Early June climatology shows average daily maxima of 30–32°C as the summer monsoon begins, with small day-to-day swings driven by shortwave troughs, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects that can shift peak readings by 1°C. Model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles shows limited spread at this two-day lead time, with any deviation likely tied to afternoon cloud development or slight wind shifts that would favor the lower or higher of the two leading thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,023End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts place Beijing's June 11 high near 31–32°C under mostly sunny conditions with light northwesterly winds, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those two outcomes. Early June climatology shows average daily maxima of 30–32°C as the summer monsoon begins, with small day-to-day swings driven by shortwave troughs, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects that can shift peak readings by 1°C. Model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles shows limited spread at this two-day lead time, with any deviation likely tied to afternoon cloud development or slight wind shifts that would favor the lower or higher of the two leading thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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