Recent European model consensus, including KNMI HARMONIE runs, points to a high of 16–18 °C in Amsterdam today under persistent cloud cover, light rain showers, and moderate northwesterly flow that limits solar heating and advects cooler maritime air. These conditions align with the market’s heaviest weighting on 17 °C (51.5 %) and 18 °C (31.5 %), consistent with typical early-June values when Atlantic lows dominate rather than high-pressure ridges. Updated short-range guidance shows little change in steering patterns or instability through the afternoon, keeping the probability of exceeding 19 °C low while rendering sub-16 °C readings unlikely absent an unexpected cold front.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on June 9?
17°C 48%
18°C 30%
16°C 9%
19°C 6.2%
$20,188 Vol.
$20,188 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
14%
17°C
48%
18°C
30%
19°C
6%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 48%
18°C 30%
16°C 9%
19°C 6.2%
$20,188 Vol.
$20,188 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
14%
17°C
48%
18°C
30%
19°C
6%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent European model consensus, including KNMI HARMONIE runs, points to a high of 16–18 °C in Amsterdam today under persistent cloud cover, light rain showers, and moderate northwesterly flow that limits solar heating and advects cooler maritime air. These conditions align with the market’s heaviest weighting on 17 °C (51.5 %) and 18 °C (31.5 %), consistent with typical early-June values when Atlantic lows dominate rather than high-pressure ridges. Updated short-range guidance shows little change in steering patterns or instability through the afternoon, keeping the probability of exceeding 19 °C low while rendering sub-16 °C readings unlikely absent an unexpected cold front.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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