Forecasts from KNMI and ECMWF ensembles indicate maximum temperatures in Amsterdam on June 10 will likely peak between 16°C and 17°C under a cool maritime air mass with widespread cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Official guidance points to light southwesterly winds and modest insolation keeping values near or slightly below seasonal normals, while any brief clearing could allow brief spikes toward 17°C. The near-even market split between these two outcomes reflects tight model agreement and low ensemble spread, with lower-probability bins for 15°C or 18°C hinging on small revisions in the final 24-hour runs or observed cloud breaks. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will clarify whether the daily maximum registers at Schiphol.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on June 10?
16°C 42%
17°C 41%
18°C 10%
15°C 6%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
6%
16°C
42%
17°C
41%
18°C
10%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 42%
17°C 41%
18°C 10%
15°C 6%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
6%
16°C
42%
17°C
41%
18°C
10%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from KNMI and ECMWF ensembles indicate maximum temperatures in Amsterdam on June 10 will likely peak between 16°C and 17°C under a cool maritime air mass with widespread cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Official guidance points to light southwesterly winds and modest insolation keeping values near or slightly below seasonal normals, while any brief clearing could allow brief spikes toward 17°C. The near-even market split between these two outcomes reflects tight model agreement and low ensemble spread, with lower-probability bins for 15°C or 18°C hinging on small revisions in the final 24-hour runs or observed cloud breaks. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will clarify whether the daily maximum registers at Schiphol.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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