Traders have positioned the 65-89 tweet range as the clear frontrunner at 53.5% implied probability because Elon Musk’s recent posting pace on X has stabilized in the low-to-mid 30s per day. Trackers show a June daily average near 29 posts, well below the nearly 100 tweets per day recorded throughout 2025. With the three-day window spanning a typical midweek schedule and no major SpaceX or Tesla milestones announced, the volume is expected to land comfortably in that band. The secondary 40-64 bucket at 38.5% reflects residual uncertainty around possible late-week spikes, while outcomes above 90% carry single-digit odds given the current subdued rhythm.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated65-89 54%
40-64 39%
90-114 7%
<40 1.8%
$283,346 Vol.
$283,346 Vol.
Jun 10, 2026
<40
2%
40-64
39%
65-89
54%
90-114
7%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 54%
40-64 39%
90-114 7%
<40 1.8%
$283,346 Vol.
$283,346 Vol.
Jun 10, 2026
<40
$50,151 Vol.
2%
40-64
$31,992 Vol.
39%
65-89
$22,364 Vol.
54%
90-114
$50,782 Vol.
7%
115-139
$50,835 Vol.
1%
140-164
$21,344 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$13,272 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$17,091 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$15,361 Vol.
<1%
240+
$12,763 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 8 12:00 PM ET to June 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders have positioned the 65-89 tweet range as the clear frontrunner at 53.5% implied probability because Elon Musk’s recent posting pace on X has stabilized in the low-to-mid 30s per day. Trackers show a June daily average near 29 posts, well below the nearly 100 tweets per day recorded throughout 2025. With the three-day window spanning a typical midweek schedule and no major SpaceX or Tesla milestones announced, the volume is expected to land comfortably in that band. The secondary 40-64 bucket at 38.5% reflects residual uncertainty around possible late-week spikes, while outcomes above 90% carry single-digit odds given the current subdued rhythm.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 8 12:00 PM ET to June 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Jun 6, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$283,346End Date
Jun 10, 2026Market Opened
Jun 6, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 8 12:00 PM ET to June 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders have positioned the 65-89 tweet range as the clear frontrunner at 53.5% implied probability because Elon Musk’s recent posting pace on X has stabilized in the low-to-mid 30s per day. Trackers show a June daily average near 29 posts, well below the nearly 100 tweets per day recorded throughout 2025. With the three-day window spanning a typical midweek schedule and no major SpaceX or Tesla milestones announced, the volume is expected to land comfortably in that band. The secondary 40-64 bucket at 38.5% reflects residual uncertainty around possible late-week spikes, while outcomes above 90% carry single-digit odds given the current subdued rhythm.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 8 12:00 PM ET to June 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$283,346End Date
Jun 10, 2026Market Opened
Jun 6, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have positioned the 65-89 tweet range as the clear frontrunner at 53.5% implied probability because Elon Musk’s recent posting pace on X has stabilized in the low-to-mid 30s per day. Trackers show a June daily average near 29 posts, well below the nearly 100 tweets per day recorded throughout 2025. With the three-day window spanning a typical midweek schedule and no major SpaceX or Tesla milestones announced, the volume is expected to land comfortably in that band. The secondary 40-64 bucket at 38.5% reflects residual uncertainty around possible late-week spikes, while outcomes above 90% carry single-digit odds given the current subdued rhythm.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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