The “NightMare vs. Rogue” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the StarCraft II match between NightMare and Rogue in the WardiTV, scheduled for February 18, 2026 at 8:20 AM ET. The primary market is the series moneyline — which team will win the match — where NightMare is currently priced at 100¢ (100% implied probability) and Rogue at 0¢ (0%). Beyond the series moneyline, esports markets on Polymarket may feature individual game winners, game handicaps, and total games, giving you multiple ways to trade on this match. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the match ends.

As of now, the “NightMare vs. Rogue” market has generated $6.3K in total trading volume across all market types (series moneyline, individual game winners, game handicaps, and total games). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.

To trade on “NightMare vs. Rogue,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Series Moneyline (which team wins the match), Individual Game Winners (who wins a specific game in the series), Game Handicap (game-win margin), or Total Games (over/under on the number of games played). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows NIGHTM at 100¢ and ROGUE at 0¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the match ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the match ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current series moneyline odds for “NightMare vs. Rogue” show NightMare at 100¢ (100% implied probability) and Rogue at 0¢ (0%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this match will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as match time approaches.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live odds tracker for the NightMare vs. Rogue match. The series moneyline, individual game winner, game handicap, and total games odds all update in real-time as new trades come in. You can use the chart to track line movement as match time approaches — shifts in the odds often signal new information like roster changes, recent form, or sharp action from big traders. Check out Head to Head, Form Guide, and Map Winrate on certain matchups for deeper data and context. Bookmark this page, check the comments section to see what other traders are saying, and use the time-range filters on the chart to review how the odds have shifted. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to produce well-calibrated probabilities. With $6.3K traded on “NightMare vs. Rogue,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of active participants — similar to how traditional sportsbooks reflect sharp and public money, but in an open, transparent market anyone can participate in. Prediction markets have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution. For the latest stats, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on “NightMare vs. Rogue,” sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page and choose a market type — Series Moneyline, Individual Game Winners, Game Handicap, or Total Games — select the side you want to trade (e.g., NIGHTM or ROGUE on the moneyline), enter your amount, and click Trade. If you're new to prediction markets, click the “How it works” link at the top of any Polymarket page for a step-by-step walkthrough.

On Polymarket, the price of each side in a market represents the market's implied probability. A price of 100¢ for NIGHTM on the series moneyline means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 100% chance that NightMare will win this match. If you buy NIGHTM shares at 100¢ and they win, you receive $1 per share — a profit of 0¢ per share. If they lose, those shares are worth $0. The same logic applies to individual game winners, game handicaps, and total games: a lower price means a higher potential payout but a lower implied probability of being correct.

The “NightMare vs. Rogue” match is scheduled for February 18, 2026 at 8:20 AM ET in the WardiTV. Trading remains open and odds will continue to shift as new information emerges leading up to the match. The market resolves once the series concludes and the official results are confirmed by the resolution source.

The “NightMare vs. Rogue” market has 4 comments where traders share their analysis, debate match outcomes, and discuss breaking developments like roster changes and recent form. Scroll down to the comments section to join the conversation. You can also check the Top Holders tab to see how the market's biggest traders are positioned, or view the Activity tab for a real-time feed of trades being placed.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and trade on real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes across politics, sports, crypto, finance, tech, culture, and esports — including tournaments and matches across League of Legends, CS2, Valorant, Dota 2, and more. Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by real money, offering a transparent, market-driven alternative to traditional odds sources. Whether you're a seasoned esports trader or just getting started, Polymarket lets you put your knowledge to work.