Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 61.5% implied probability for "No" on X facing a ban in any European country by December 31, 2026, driven by the European Commission's preference for escalating Digital Services Act (DSA) enforcement through fines rather than outright prohibitions. The December 2025 €120 million penalty against X for transparency lapses in ad repositories, blue checkmarks, and researcher data access marked the first major DSA action, prompting X's February 2026 legal challenge at the EU's top court and partial compliance like its March blue check plan submission. Recent Brussels guidance cautioning member states against unilateral social media crackdowns, amid ongoing probes into features like Grok image generation, reinforces regulatory fines over national bans, with X remaining operational as Europe's top news app in key markets; court rulings and potential further fines loom as pivotal catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$10,001 Vol.
$10,001 Vol.
31 dic 2026
$10,001 Vol.
$10,001 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the use of X/Twitter is banned within any European country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a “European country” is defined as any of the following sovereign states: Albania, Andorra, Austria, Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Kosovo, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Moldova, Monaco, Montenegro, Netherlands, North Macedonia, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, United Kingdom, and Vatican City.
A ban will qualify if legislation is enacted or government action is taken to bar the respective country's citizens from downloading and/or viewing X/Twitter, and/or posting on X/Twitter. Any legislation or government action that meets these standards will qualify, regardless of whether or when the ban goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective government and X/Twitter; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 61.5% implied probability for "No" on X facing a ban in any European country by December 31, 2026, driven by the European Commission's preference for escalating Digital Services Act (DSA) enforcement through fines rather than outright prohibitions. The December 2025 €120 million penalty against X for transparency lapses in ad repositories, blue checkmarks, and researcher data access marked the first major DSA action, prompting X's February 2026 legal challenge at the EU's top court and partial compliance like its March blue check plan submission. Recent Brussels guidance cautioning member states against unilateral social media crackdowns, amid ongoing probes into features like Grok image generation, reinforces regulatory fines over national bans, with X remaining operational as Europe's top news app in key markets; court rulings and potential further fines loom as pivotal catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the use of X/Twitter is banned within any European country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a “European country” is defined as any of the following sovereign states: Albania, Andorra, Austria, Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Kosovo, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Moldova, Monaco, Montenegro, Netherlands, North Macedonia, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, United Kingdom, and Vatican City.
A ban will qualify if legislation is enacted or government action is taken to bar the respective country's citizens from downloading and/or viewing X/Twitter, and/or posting on X/Twitter. Any legislation or government action that meets these standards will qualify, regardless of whether or when the ban goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective government and X/Twitter; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “European country” is defined as any of the following sovereign states: Albania, Andorra, Austria, Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Kosovo, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Moldova, Monaco, Montenegro, Netherlands, North Macedonia, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, United Kingdom, and Vatican City.
A ban will qualify if legislation is enacted or government action is taken to bar the respective country's citizens from downloading and/or viewing X/Twitter, and/or posting on X/Twitter. Any legislation or government action that meets these standards will qualify, regardless of whether or when the ban goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective government and X/Twitter; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Volumen
$10,001Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the use of X/Twitter is banned within any European country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a “European country” is defined as any of the following sovereign states: Albania, Andorra, Austria, Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Kosovo, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Moldova, Monaco, Montenegro, Netherlands, North Macedonia, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, United Kingdom, and Vatican City.
A ban will qualify if legislation is enacted or government action is taken to bar the respective country's citizens from downloading and/or viewing X/Twitter, and/or posting on X/Twitter. Any legislation or government action that meets these standards will qualify, regardless of whether or when the ban goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective government and X/Twitter; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 61.5% implied probability for "No" on X facing a ban in any European country by December 31, 2026, driven by the European Commission's preference for escalating Digital Services Act (DSA) enforcement through fines rather than outright prohibitions. The December 2025 €120 million penalty against X for transparency lapses in ad repositories, blue checkmarks, and researcher data access marked the first major DSA action, prompting X's February 2026 legal challenge at the EU's top court and partial compliance like its March blue check plan submission. Recent Brussels guidance cautioning member states against unilateral social media crackdowns, amid ongoing probes into features like Grok image generation, reinforces regulatory fines over national bans, with X remaining operational as Europe's top news app in key markets; court rulings and potential further fines loom as pivotal catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the use of X/Twitter is banned within any European country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a “European country” is defined as any of the following sovereign states: Albania, Andorra, Austria, Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Kosovo, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Moldova, Monaco, Montenegro, Netherlands, North Macedonia, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, United Kingdom, and Vatican City.
A ban will qualify if legislation is enacted or government action is taken to bar the respective country's citizens from downloading and/or viewing X/Twitter, and/or posting on X/Twitter. Any legislation or government action that meets these standards will qualify, regardless of whether or when the ban goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective government and X/Twitter; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “European country” is defined as any of the following sovereign states: Albania, Andorra, Austria, Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Kosovo, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Moldova, Monaco, Montenegro, Netherlands, North Macedonia, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, United Kingdom, and Vatican City.
A ban will qualify if legislation is enacted or government action is taken to bar the respective country's citizens from downloading and/or viewing X/Twitter, and/or posting on X/Twitter. Any legislation or government action that meets these standards will qualify, regardless of whether or when the ban goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective government and X/Twitter; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$10,001Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 61.5% implied probability for "No" on X facing a ban in any European country by December 31, 2026, driven by the European Commission's preference for escalating Digital Services Act (DSA) enforcement through fines rather than outright prohibitions. The December 2025 €120 million penalty against X for transparency lapses in ad repositories, blue checkmarks, and researcher data access marked the first major DSA action, prompting X's February 2026 legal challenge at the EU's top court and partial compliance like its March blue check plan submission. Recent Brussels guidance cautioning member states against unilateral social media crackdowns, amid ongoing probes into features like Grok image generation, reinforces regulatory fines over national bans, with X remaining operational as Europe's top news app in key markets; court rulings and potential further fines loom as pivotal catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes