The expanded 48-team 2026 FIFA World Cup format, with 12 groups of four and 32 teams advancing to the round of 32, has shifted trader focus toward early group-stage results and tiebreaker scenarios for third-place sides. After the June 11 opener, Mexico leads Group A on goal difference following its 2-0 win over South Africa, while South Korea sits second; similar narrow margins appear across other groups after initial fixtures including Scotland’s 1-0 victory over Haiti and Australia’s 2-0 defeat of Türkiye. Recent form, squad depth, and remaining matchups against stronger or weaker opponents now heavily influence implied probabilities, with goal difference and points from the final two group games determining which eight third-placed teams progress. Home-host advantages for Mexico, Canada, and the United States add another layer to current standings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCopa del Mundo: El equipo avanzará a las fases eliminatorias
$2,437,785 Vol.
España
98%
Estados Unidos
98%
México
98%
Alemania
97%
Argentina
96%
Bélgica
96%
Francia
96%
Inglaterra
96%
Portugal
95%
Corea del Sur
95%
Brasil
93%
Marruecos
92%
Países Bajos
91%
Colombia
91%
Uruguay
90%
Suiza
89%
Australia
88%
Ecuador
88%
Noruega
86%
Japón
84%
Canadá
84%
Croacia
82%
Escocia
82%
Austria
79%
Costa de Marfil
78%
Senegal
72%
Egipto
72%
Bosnia y Herzegovina
69%
Argelia
68%
Suecia
63%
Irán
62%
Chequia
55%
Turquía
52%
Ghana
49%
República Democrática del Congo
42%
Panamá
38%
Paraguay
36%
Túnez
36%
Arabia Saudita
35%
Nueva Zelanda
32%
Uzbekistán
32%
Cabo Verde
30%
Qatar
24%
Jordania
21%
Sudáfrica
16%
Irak
13%
Curazao
9%
Haití
4%
$2,437,785 Vol.
España
98%
Estados Unidos
98%
México
98%
Alemania
97%
Argentina
96%
Bélgica
96%
Francia
96%
Inglaterra
96%
Portugal
95%
Corea del Sur
95%
Brasil
93%
Marruecos
92%
Países Bajos
91%
Colombia
91%
Uruguay
90%
Suiza
89%
Australia
88%
Ecuador
88%
Noruega
86%
Japón
84%
Canadá
84%
Croacia
82%
Escocia
82%
Austria
79%
Costa de Marfil
78%
Senegal
72%
Egipto
72%
Bosnia y Herzegovina
69%
Argelia
68%
Suecia
63%
Irán
62%
Chequia
55%
Turquía
52%
Ghana
49%
República Democrática del Congo
42%
Panamá
38%
Paraguay
36%
Túnez
36%
Arabia Saudita
35%
Nueva Zelanda
32%
Uzbekistán
32%
Cabo Verde
30%
Qatar
24%
Jordania
21%
Sudáfrica
16%
Irak
13%
Curazao
9%
Haití
4%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 27, 2026, 10:50 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The expanded 48-team 2026 FIFA World Cup format, with 12 groups of four and 32 teams advancing to the round of 32, has shifted trader focus toward early group-stage results and tiebreaker scenarios for third-place sides. After the June 11 opener, Mexico leads Group A on goal difference following its 2-0 win over South Africa, while South Korea sits second; similar narrow margins appear across other groups after initial fixtures including Scotland’s 1-0 victory over Haiti and Australia’s 2-0 defeat of Türkiye. Recent form, squad depth, and remaining matchups against stronger or weaker opponents now heavily influence implied probabilities, with goal difference and points from the final two group games determining which eight third-placed teams progress. Home-host advantages for Mexico, Canada, and the United States add another layer to current standings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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