Traders price “No” at 90% because the World Cup’s historical largest margin—set in the tournament’s early decades amid extreme gaps in global development—has not been approached in the modern era. Recent editions have produced maximum winning margins of seven or eight goals, with stronger qualification pathways, expanded professional leagues, and deeper talent pools across confederations limiting blowouts. The 2026 field of 48 teams features improved mid-tier sides and no repeat of the lopsided mismatches that once produced double-digit results. Schedule balance, rest advantages, and competitive group-stage dynamics further reduce the chance of an outlier result large enough to break the long-standing record.