Belgium enters Group G as the clear frontrunner in trader consensus, reflecting its superior FIFA ranking, depth of European-based talent including veterans like Kevin De Bruyne and Thibaut Courtois, and strong qualifying campaign. Egypt sits second, buoyed by Mohamed Salah’s influence and recent African qualifying form, though it trails in overall squad quality. Iran and New Zealand occupy lower probabilities consistent with their rankings and limited recent success against higher-level opposition. With matches beginning in mid-June across Seattle, Los Angeles, and Vancouver venues, the market pricing incorporates historical group-stage patterns where the highest-ranked side typically claims top spot in comparable draws. No major roster developments have shifted these implied probabilities in recent days.