Amid heightened US-Iran tensions since late February 2026 strikes and a mid-April naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, President Trump extended an indefinite ceasefire last week while rejecting Tehran's proposal to reopen the strait in exchange for ending sanctions and hostilities. The administration claims the ceasefire terminates hostilities, sidestepping a May 1 War Powers Resolution deadline for Congressional authorization of military action. No formal war declaration—requiring House and Senate passage and presidential signature, absent since World War II—has materialized, as executive actions suffice for ongoing operations. Recent Defense Secretary Hegseth hearings probe costs and strategy, but stalled Pakistan-mediated talks and de-escalation signals anchor trader consensus at low probabilities, with escalation needing major diplomatic breakdown.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Estados Unidos declarará oficialmente la guerra a Irán antes del...?
¿Estados Unidos declarará oficialmente la guerra a Irán antes del...?
$7,413,454 Vol.
31 dic 2026
31 de diciembre
8%
$7,413,454 Vol.
31 de diciembre
$440,820 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Amid heightened US-Iran tensions since late February 2026 strikes and a mid-April naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, President Trump extended an indefinite ceasefire last week while rejecting Tehran's proposal to reopen the strait in exchange for ending sanctions and hostilities. The administration claims the ceasefire terminates hostilities, sidestepping a May 1 War Powers Resolution deadline for Congressional authorization of military action. No formal war declaration—requiring House and Senate passage and presidential signature, absent since World War II—has materialized, as executive actions suffice for ongoing operations. Recent Defense Secretary Hegseth hearings probe costs and strategy, but stalled Pakistan-mediated talks and de-escalation signals anchor trader consensus at low probabilities, with escalation needing major diplomatic breakdown.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Volumen
$7,413,454Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Amid heightened US-Iran tensions since late February 2026 strikes and a mid-April naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, President Trump extended an indefinite ceasefire last week while rejecting Tehran's proposal to reopen the strait in exchange for ending sanctions and hostilities. The administration claims the ceasefire terminates hostilities, sidestepping a May 1 War Powers Resolution deadline for Congressional authorization of military action. No formal war declaration—requiring House and Senate passage and presidential signature, absent since World War II—has materialized, as executive actions suffice for ongoing operations. Recent Defense Secretary Hegseth hearings probe costs and strategy, but stalled Pakistan-mediated talks and de-escalation signals anchor trader consensus at low probabilities, with escalation needing major diplomatic breakdown.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$7,413,454Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid heightened US-Iran tensions since late February 2026 strikes and a mid-April naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, President Trump extended an indefinite ceasefire last week while rejecting Tehran's proposal to reopen the strait in exchange for ending sanctions and hostilities. The administration claims the ceasefire terminates hostilities, sidestepping a May 1 War Powers Resolution deadline for Congressional authorization of military action. No formal war declaration—requiring House and Senate passage and presidential signature, absent since World War II—has materialized, as executive actions suffice for ongoing operations. Recent Defense Secretary Hegseth hearings probe costs and strategy, but stalled Pakistan-mediated talks and de-escalation signals anchor trader consensus at low probabilities, with escalation needing major diplomatic breakdown.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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