Trader consensus heavily favors the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) retaining control of Khartoum against Rapid Support Forces (RSF) advances by June 30, driven by the SAF's recapture of the capital and surrounding areas in May 2025, which it has solidified through ongoing operations. Recent SAF airstrikes and ground assaults on RSF positions in six states as of late April 2026, including dismantling militias near Daling to secure supply routes to Khartoum, underscore the military impasse with RSF entrenched in Darfur and parts of Kordofan but showing no significant momentum toward the capital. The government's return to Khartoum in January 2026 further entrenches SAF dominance in central Sudan. While unlikely, a major RSF offensive backed by external actors or SAF setbacks from famine and mines could shift dynamics before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Las RSF capturarán Jartum antes del 30 de junio?
¿Las RSF capturarán Jartum antes del 30 de junio?
Sí
$18,398 Vol.
$18,398 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sí
$18,398 Vol.
$18,398 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.Trader consensus heavily favors the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) retaining control of Khartoum against Rapid Support Forces (RSF) advances by June 30, driven by the SAF's recapture of the capital and surrounding areas in May 2025, which it has solidified through ongoing operations. Recent SAF airstrikes and ground assaults on RSF positions in six states as of late April 2026, including dismantling militias near Daling to secure supply routes to Khartoum, underscore the military impasse with RSF entrenched in Darfur and parts of Kordofan but showing no significant momentum toward the capital. The government's return to Khartoum in January 2026 further entrenches SAF dominance in central Sudan. While unlikely, a major RSF offensive backed by external actors or SAF setbacks from famine and mines could shift dynamics before resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
Mercado abierto: Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ET
Volumen
$18,398Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.Trader consensus heavily favors the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) retaining control of Khartoum against Rapid Support Forces (RSF) advances by June 30, driven by the SAF's recapture of the capital and surrounding areas in May 2025, which it has solidified through ongoing operations. Recent SAF airstrikes and ground assaults on RSF positions in six states as of late April 2026, including dismantling militias near Daling to secure supply routes to Khartoum, underscore the military impasse with RSF entrenched in Darfur and parts of Kordofan but showing no significant momentum toward the capital. The government's return to Khartoum in January 2026 further entrenches SAF dominance in central Sudan. While unlikely, a major RSF offensive backed by external actors or SAF setbacks from famine and mines could shift dynamics before resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
Volumen
$18,398Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) retaining control of Khartoum against Rapid Support Forces (RSF) advances by June 30, driven by the SAF's recapture of the capital and surrounding areas in May 2025, which it has solidified through ongoing operations. Recent SAF airstrikes and ground assaults on RSF positions in six states as of late April 2026, including dismantling militias near Daling to secure supply routes to Khartoum, underscore the military impasse with RSF entrenched in Darfur and parts of Kordofan but showing no significant momentum toward the capital. The government's return to Khartoum in January 2026 further entrenches SAF dominance in central Sudan. While unlikely, a major RSF offensive backed by external actors or SAF setbacks from famine and mines could shift dynamics before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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