Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) will not capture Khartoum by June 30, driven by the Sudanese Armed Forces' (SAF) firm control of the capital since recapturing it in May 2025 after two years of RSF occupation. Frontlines have hardened into an east-west divide as of late April 2026, with SAF dominating central and eastern Sudan including Khartoum, while RSF consolidates in Darfur, Blue Nile, and Kordofan amid ongoing drone strikes on Khartoum outskirts but no ground advances. Recent SAF airstrikes across six states and high-profile RSF defections to SAF ranks have eroded paramilitary cohesion in a protracted military impasse marked by famine and displacement. With two months remaining, only a massive, unforeseen RSF offensive backed by escalated external support could shift dynamics, though geographic separation and SAF air superiority make this improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Las RSF capturarán Jartum antes del 30 de junio?
¿Las RSF capturarán Jartum antes del 30 de junio?
Sí
$18,398 Vol.
$18,398 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sí
$18,398 Vol.
$18,398 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) will not capture Khartoum by June 30, driven by the Sudanese Armed Forces' (SAF) firm control of the capital since recapturing it in May 2025 after two years of RSF occupation. Frontlines have hardened into an east-west divide as of late April 2026, with SAF dominating central and eastern Sudan including Khartoum, while RSF consolidates in Darfur, Blue Nile, and Kordofan amid ongoing drone strikes on Khartoum outskirts but no ground advances. Recent SAF airstrikes across six states and high-profile RSF defections to SAF ranks have eroded paramilitary cohesion in a protracted military impasse marked by famine and displacement. With two months remaining, only a massive, unforeseen RSF offensive backed by escalated external support could shift dynamics, though geographic separation and SAF air superiority make this improbable.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
Mercado abierto: Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ET
Volumen
$18,398Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) will not capture Khartoum by June 30, driven by the Sudanese Armed Forces' (SAF) firm control of the capital since recapturing it in May 2025 after two years of RSF occupation. Frontlines have hardened into an east-west divide as of late April 2026, with SAF dominating central and eastern Sudan including Khartoum, while RSF consolidates in Darfur, Blue Nile, and Kordofan amid ongoing drone strikes on Khartoum outskirts but no ground advances. Recent SAF airstrikes across six states and high-profile RSF defections to SAF ranks have eroded paramilitary cohesion in a protracted military impasse marked by famine and displacement. With two months remaining, only a massive, unforeseen RSF offensive backed by escalated external support could shift dynamics, though geographic separation and SAF air superiority make this improbable.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
Volumen
$18,398Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) will not capture Khartoum by June 30, driven by the Sudanese Armed Forces' (SAF) firm control of the capital since recapturing it in May 2025 after two years of RSF occupation. Frontlines have hardened into an east-west divide as of late April 2026, with SAF dominating central and eastern Sudan including Khartoum, while RSF consolidates in Darfur, Blue Nile, and Kordofan amid ongoing drone strikes on Khartoum outskirts but no ground advances. Recent SAF airstrikes across six states and high-profile RSF defections to SAF ranks have eroded paramilitary cohesion in a protracted military impasse marked by famine and displacement. With two months remaining, only a massive, unforeseen RSF offensive backed by escalated external support could shift dynamics, though geographic separation and SAF air superiority make this improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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