Trader sentiment on 30-year fixed mortgage rates hitting key 2026 thresholds hinges on their tight correlation to 10-year Treasury yields, currently at 4.40% as of May 1, plus a roughly 200 basis point spread. Rates have eased to an average 6.38% from 6.46% in early April, reflecting the Federal Reserve's April 29 FOMC decision to hold the federal funds target at 3.50%-3.75% amid sticky inflation and robust labor data. Futures imply steady policy through mid-year, with consensus forecasts pinning end-2026 mortgages around 6.0%-6.4%. Watch May CPI release on May 15 and nonfarm payrolls for swings; softer data could accelerate disinflation-driven yield drops, while hotter prints risk re-pricing higher.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La tasa hipotecaria a 30 años llegará a __ en 2026?
¿La tasa hipotecaria a 30 años llegará a __ en 2026?
$43,713 Vol.
31 dic 2026
↑ 7,00%
49%
↑ 6,75%
51%
↑ 6,50%
50%
↓ 5,90%
37%
↓ 5,70%
50%
↓ 5.50%
50%
$43,713 Vol.
↑ 7,00%
$24 Vol.
49%
↑ 6,75%
$118 Vol.
51%
↑ 6,50%
$6,665 Vol.
50%
↓ 5,90%
$0 Vol.
37%
↓ 5,70%
$6,769 Vol.
50%
↓ 5.50%
$25 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Trader sentiment on 30-year fixed mortgage rates hitting key 2026 thresholds hinges on their tight correlation to 10-year Treasury yields, currently at 4.40% as of May 1, plus a roughly 200 basis point spread. Rates have eased to an average 6.38% from 6.46% in early April, reflecting the Federal Reserve's April 29 FOMC decision to hold the federal funds target at 3.50%-3.75% amid sticky inflation and robust labor data. Futures imply steady policy through mid-year, with consensus forecasts pinning end-2026 mortgages around 6.0%-6.4%. Watch May CPI release on May 15 and nonfarm payrolls for swings; softer data could accelerate disinflation-driven yield drops, while hotter prints risk re-pricing higher.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
Volumen
$43,713Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Trader sentiment on 30-year fixed mortgage rates hitting key 2026 thresholds hinges on their tight correlation to 10-year Treasury yields, currently at 4.40% as of May 1, plus a roughly 200 basis point spread. Rates have eased to an average 6.38% from 6.46% in early April, reflecting the Federal Reserve's April 29 FOMC decision to hold the federal funds target at 3.50%-3.75% amid sticky inflation and robust labor data. Futures imply steady policy through mid-year, with consensus forecasts pinning end-2026 mortgages around 6.0%-6.4%. Watch May CPI release on May 15 and nonfarm payrolls for swings; softer data could accelerate disinflation-driven yield drops, while hotter prints risk re-pricing higher.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
Volumen
$43,713Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on 30-year fixed mortgage rates hitting key 2026 thresholds hinges on their tight correlation to 10-year Treasury yields, currently at 4.40% as of May 1, plus a roughly 200 basis point spread. Rates have eased to an average 6.38% from 6.46% in early April, reflecting the Federal Reserve's April 29 FOMC decision to hold the federal funds target at 3.50%-3.75% amid sticky inflation and robust labor data. Futures imply steady policy through mid-year, with consensus forecasts pinning end-2026 mortgages around 6.0%-6.4%. Watch May CPI release on May 15 and nonfarm payrolls for swings; softer data could accelerate disinflation-driven yield drops, while hotter prints risk re-pricing higher.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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