
¿Microestrategia eliminada del índice MSCI por...?

¿Microestrategia eliminada del índice MSCI por...?
$1,061,786 Vol.
30 de junio
$58,332 Vol.
<1%
31 de diciembre
$797 Vol.
45%
$1,061,786 Vol.
30 de junio
<1%
31 de diciembre
45%
If MicroStrategy is transferred between indexes (e.g., from MSCI World to another MSCI index), that will also count as a removal for the purposes of this market.
An official MSCI announcement of removal or transfer will be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution.
The resolution source will be official MSCI communication or a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Feb 2, 2026, 12:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Market confidence stabilizes on MicroStrategy MSCI index retention
December 31 surges to 53%21%
Following MSCI's decision to retain MicroStrategy in its indexes, market confidence stabilized with prices reflecting a reduced probability of delisting by March 31, 2026. This outcome confirmed the company's continued inclusion in MSCI benchmarks for the near term.
No official MSCI announcement of MicroStrategy removal by June 10, 2026
December 31 drops to 60%5%
As of June 10, 2026, no official MSCI communication confirmed MicroStrategy's removal or transfer from MSCI World or USA indexes, indicating the market's resolution remains pending or negative for removal.
MicroStrategy remains included in MSCI indexes through March 31, 2026, per official MSCI communications
December 31 surges to 61%26%
Official MSCI communications confirmed that MicroStrategy was not removed from the MSCI World or USA indexes by March 31, 2026, resolving the market question with a 'No' outcome for delisting.
Prediction market assigns 63% probability of MSCI delisting by year-end
June 30 dips to 1%2%
Following Strategy's Bitcoin sale and Q1 2026 results, prediction markets increased the probability of MSCI delisting to 63%, reflecting heightened investor concern about forced passive-fund selling and the company's financial health.
Polymarket Delisting Odds Surge to 63% Following Bitcoin Sale
December 31 surges to 60%25%
Following the Bitcoin sale, analysts and traders heavily debated the future of Strategy Inc. Polymarket traders priced in a 63% probability of MSCI index delisting by year-end, causing the December 31 contract to spike to its highest level in the window.
MicroStrategy remains included in MSCI indexes as of June 2026
No official MSCI announcement of MicroStrategy removal or transfer from MSCI World or USA indexes has been made by June 4, 2026, indicating the company remains included in these indexes, resolving the market to 'No' for June 30 outcome.
MicroStrategy director purchases shares signaling confidence after MSCI index inclusion maintained
December 31 surges to 63%28%
Following MSCI's decision to retain MicroStrategy in its indexes, a company director purchased shares, signaling insider confidence and positively influencing market sentiment near the analysis window's end.
Polymarket assigns 63% probability of MSCI delisting by year-end 2026
December 31 surges to 62%36%
Polymarket prediction markets indicated a 63% chance of MicroStrategy being delisted from MSCI indexes by the end of 2026, reflecting heightened market concern after the Bitcoin sale and financial losses.
Market reflects bearish sentiment on MicroStrategy amid Bitcoin sale and MSCI delisting odds
December 31 jumps to 43%11%
Following the Bitcoin sale and shareholder vote anticipation, bearish sentiment intensified with Polymarket assigning a 63% probability to MSCI delisting by year-end 2026, impacting stock price and market outlook.
MSCI announces pause on exclusion of Digital Asset Treasury Companies including MicroStrategy
December 31 surges to 64%29%
MSCI decided not to proceed with excluding companies like MicroStrategy from its indexes, deferring the decision and maintaining current inclusions. This announcement significantly reduced fears of forced selling and index removal, causing a surge in MicroStrategy-related market prices.
MicroStrategy sells 32 Bitcoin for first time since 2022
December 31 surges to 54%35%
On June 1, 2026, MicroStrategy disclosed selling 32 BTC to fund preferred stock dividends, marking a strategic pivot that triggered a sharp stock price decline and increased fears of MSCI delisting due to financial strain.
Strategy Inc. Discloses First Bitcoin Sale Since 2022 to Pay Dividends
December 31 rises to 35%4%
Strategy Inc. (formerly MicroStrategy) shocked the market by disclosing the sale of 32 BTC for $2.5 million to cover preferred stock dividends. This historic shift from pure accumulation triggered a sharp drop in MSTR stock and renewed fears of MSCI index delisting.
MicroStrategy sells 32 Bitcoin, first sale in years, amid ongoing MSCI delisting speculation
On June 1, 2026, MicroStrategy disclosed the sale of 32 BTC, its first Bitcoin sale in years, to fund preferred stock dividends. This event occurred amid persistent market speculation and a 63% probability assigned by prediction markets of MSCI delisting by year-end, reflecting ongoing investor concerns about index inclusion risks.
Strategy Inc. sells 32 Bitcoin, first sale in years, sparking market concern
June 30 drops to 3%7%
On June 1, 2026, Strategy Inc. disclosed the sale of 32 BTC to fund preferred stock dividends, marking its first Bitcoin sale in years. This move was perceived as a tactical pivot amid financial pressures and triggered a sharp decline in stock price and increased speculation about MSCI delisting risk.
MicroStrategy sells small amount of Bitcoin amid market pressures
June 30 rises to 5%4%
MicroStrategy disclosed selling 32 BTC, a tiny fraction of its holdings, to cover preferred stock dividends. This move sparked market speculation about the company's financial health but did not trigger MSCI index removal.
MSCI confirms MicroStrategy will stay in its indexes
June 30 rises to 2%1%
MSCI issued a final statement that it will keep MicroStrategy in the MSCI World and USA indexes for now, effectively ending the removal speculation and causing the ‘Yes’ probability to fall to near‑zero by early June.
MSCI May 2026 Index Review implemented with no removal of MicroStrategy
December 31 surges to 63%28%
MSCI implemented its May 2026 Index Review changes on May 29, 2026, which included numerous additions and deletions but did not remove or transfer MicroStrategy from the MSCI World or USA indexes, maintaining its index status through the review period.
Polymarket Traders Price Rising Odds of MicroStrategy Selling Bitcoin
December 31 jumps to 31%5%
Speculation mounted that MicroStrategy would sell some of its Bitcoin holdings to fund preferred stock dividends, following hints from Michael Saylor during the Q1 earnings call. This raised concerns about the company's premium and index status.
MicroStrategy Reports $11.2 Billion Bitcoin Loss, Sparking Delisting Speculation
December 31 dips to 26%2%
MicroStrategy's reported $11.2 billion Bitcoin loss intensified market fears about its financial stability and potential MSCI index removal, reflected in increased delisting odds in the December 31 contract.
MSCI announces May 2026 Index Review results, changes effective May 29
June 30 drops to 1%5%
MSCI announced the results of its May 2026 Index Review, which could include additions or deletions affecting MicroStrategy's inclusion in the MSCI USA or World indexes. This announcement influenced market expectations about potential delisting.
MSCI Releases May 2026 Index Review Additions and Deletions
MSCI announced its scheduled May 2026 Index Review rebalancing. While MicroStrategy remained in the index due to the earlier pause on digital asset treasury exclusions, the scheduled review date kept traders highly focused on index composition.
Market prices sharply drop amid renewed concerns over MicroStrategy's index status
December 31 plunges to 26%15%
Despite MSCI's earlier decision, market volatility and Bitcoin price fluctuations caused renewed investor uncertainty about MicroStrategy's index inclusion, leading to a sharp price decline in early May 2026.
MicroStrategy sells 32 BTC to cover preferred stock dividends, signaling financial pressure
June 30 drops to 3%5%
MicroStrategy executed its first Bitcoin sale in years, offloading 32 BTC to cover dividend payments on preferred shares. This move raised concerns about liquidity and potential MSCI index removal, negatively impacting market confidence.
MicroStrategy tokenized stock gains momentum despite past exchange delistings
December 31 dips to 27%2%
The tokenized stock of MicroStrategy (MSTRX) showed strong performance and new futures products, attracting momentum traders and indicating market interest, though past delistings on crypto exchanges highlighted regulatory challenges.
MicroStrategy actively lobbies MSCI to avoid index exclusion
December 31 surges to 51%33%
MicroStrategy, led by Chairman Michael Saylor, engaged directly with MSCI to argue against exclusion, emphasizing its software business and Bitcoin strategy as distinct from investment funds. This lobbying aimed to preserve passive investment inflows critical to the company's capital model.
MicroStrategy stock plunges amid Bitcoin sale and MSCI delisting fears
December 31 jumps to 29%11%
Following MicroStrategy's first Bitcoin sale since 2022 to fund dividends, the stock dropped significantly, fueling market speculation about MSCI delisting risks and increasing bearish sentiment reflected in prediction market probabilities.
MSCI announces upcoming free-float methodology revision for May 2026
December 31 dips to 18%1%
MSCI announced a revision to its free-float methodology effective May 2026, which could lead to future index composition changes, keeping market participants cautious about MicroStrategy's index status.
Market reacts to renewed concerns over MicroStrategy's MSCI index status amid Bitcoin volatility
December 31 surges to 53%34%
Investor sentiment fluctuated as Bitcoin price volatility and ongoing MSCI review of digital asset treasury companies kept uncertainty high, causing sharp price swings in MicroStrategy's stock and affecting market expectations for index inclusion.
MicroStrategy Discloses Bitcoin Sale to Cover Preferred Stock Dividends
June 30 plunges to 1%52%
MicroStrategy disclosed a sale of 32 BTC worth $2.5 million to cover routine, mandatory cash dividends on its preferred stock, signaling a shift away from Bitcoin accumulation and triggering bearish sentiment.
MSCI World and USA Indexes Show Volatility Amid MicroStrategy Financial Pressures
December 31 surges to 51%33%
Market volatility increased in late April 2026 as MicroStrategy's significant Bitcoin losses and share dilution raised concerns about its eligibility for MSCI indexes, reflected in sharp price swings and increased delisting probability in the December 31 contract.
MicroStrategy stock briefly rallies amid speculation of Bitcoin purchase and index inclusion
December 31 surges to 54%36%
MicroStrategy's stock price saw a temporary rally due to speculation about another Bitcoin purchase and hopes of maintaining MSCI index inclusion, reflecting investor optimism despite ongoing risks.
MicroStrategy reports first Bitcoin sale in years amid dividend pressures
December 31 surges to 51%32%
MicroStrategy disclosed selling 32 BTC to cover preferred stock dividends, signaling financial strain. This event raised concerns about the company's stability and potential impact on its MSCI index status, causing price fluctuations.
MicroStrategy stock rebounds on optimism after MSCI defers exclusion decision
December 31 surges to 54%36%
Following MSCI's decision to maintain MicroStrategy in its indexes, the stock price rebounded significantly, reflecting restored investor confidence and reduced fears of forced selling.
MSCI Spares MicroStrategy and Other Digital Asset Treasury Companies from Immediate Index Exclusion
June 30 surges to 49%45%
MSCI announced it would not proceed with a proposal to exclude Digital Asset Treasury Companies (DATCOs) like MicroStrategy from its Global Investable Market Indexes during its upcoming reviews, though it froze their index footprint and deferred size-segment migrations.
MSCI consultation on digital asset treasury companies closes without immediate removal decision
December 31 surges to 51%33%
MSCI closed its consultation period on December 31, 2025, but as of late April 2026, no official removal or transfer of MicroStrategy from MSCI indexes was announced, sustaining market uncertainty and price volatility.
MicroStrategy announces additional Bitcoin acquisition, boosting treasury balance
December 31 drops to 18%5%
MicroStrategy issued a press release highlighting a new Bitcoin purchase, temporarily boosting optimism that the firm’s treasury strategy remained strong, lifting the “Yes” probability to 18 % on 2026‑04‑25.
Market prices for MicroStrategy delisting fall to lows amid no MSCI removal news
December 31 drops to 18%12%
By late April 2026, market prices for MicroStrategy being delisted from MSCI indexes dropped significantly, reflecting the absence of any official MSCI announcement of removal or transfer, indicating market consensus that delisting was unlikely by March 31, 2026.
Market confidence in MicroStrategy's MSCI inclusion collapses amid ongoing uncertainty
December 31 drops to 18%14%
By mid-April, market prices for MicroStrategy's delisting probability dropped sharply, reflecting persistent doubts about its index status despite no official MSCI removal announcement, indicating market skepticism.
MicroStrategy faces MSCI index removal risk due to Bitcoin-heavy balance sheet
December 31 drops to 18%5%
MicroStrategy's substantial Bitcoin holdings, exceeding 25% of total assets, triggered MSCI's review for potential exclusion from major indexes, raising concerns about forced passive fund outflows estimated at $2.8 billion. This news heightened market uncertainty about MicroStrategy's index status.
SEC Unveils 'Reg Crypto' Providing Comprehensive Legal Framework
December 31 drops to 19%13%
The SEC introduced Regulation Crypto Assets under Chairman Paul Atkins, establishing a safe-harbor exemption and reclassifying most digital tokens as non-securities, which boosted institutional confidence in crypto-heavy firms.
MicroStrategy reports large Bitcoin holdings amid MSCI inclusion
December 31 rises to 32%2%
MicroStrategy reported substantial Bitcoin holdings and remained the largest corporate Bitcoin holder, reinforcing its identity as a Digital Asset Treasury Company. This supported its continued inclusion in MSCI indexes as of March 2026.
MicroStrategy shares drop amid Bitcoin price decline, no MSCI delisting
June 30 drops to 12%6%
MicroStrategy shares fell 6.5% following Bitcoin breaking below key support levels, reflecting the company's leveraged Bitcoin exposure. However, no MSCI announcement indicated removal from indexes, and the drop was attributed to market volatility rather than index changes.
MicroStrategy announces significant Bitcoin purchase amid ongoing MSCI inclusion
December 31 rises to 30%3%
MicroStrategy increased its Bitcoin holdings by purchasing 22,337 coins, reinforcing its digital asset treasury strategy while remaining included in MSCI indexes, supporting investor confidence.
MicroStrategy's share dilution and Bitcoin purchases raise index inclusion concerns
December 31 drops to 27%6%
MicroStrategy's ongoing equity dilution and large Bitcoin acquisitions raised questions about its classification and eligibility for MSCI indexes, contributing to price volatility and uncertainty about delisting.
Market reacts negatively to MicroStrategy's financial losses and delisting concerns
December 31 plunges to 27%57%
Following MicroStrategy's Q4 2025 earnings report showing significant losses and ongoing concerns about MSCI delisting risk, market confidence dropped sharply, reflecting fears about the company's financial health and index status.
MicroStrategy announces weekly Bitcoin purchase amid rising Bitcoin prices
December 31 surges to 84%51%
MicroStrategy announced a weekly Bitcoin purchase as Bitcoin prices rose, signaling continued commitment to its Bitcoin treasury strategy. This announcement briefly increased market optimism about MicroStrategy's stability and index inclusion.
JPMorgan warns of risk to MicroStrategy stock if MSCI excludes it from indexes
December 31 drops to 27%6%
JPMorgan analysts publicly warned that exclusion of MicroStrategy from MSCI indexes could lead to significant valuation pressure due to passive fund ownership, raising market concerns about potential delisting despite MSCI's retention decision.
Analyst Jeff Dorman downplays impact of potential MSCI delisting on MicroStrategy
December 31 surges to 55%28%
Jeff Dorman, CIO at Arca, stated that removal from MSCI indexes would be marginally bad for MicroStrategy's stock but irrelevant for Bitcoin, suggesting limited fundamental impact and tempering market fears.
JPMorgan warns of significant stock selloff risk if MicroStrategy delisted from MSCI
December 31 plunges to 27%28%
JPMorgan analysts flagged that exclusion of MicroStrategy from MSCI indexes could lead to substantial valuation pressure due to forced selling by passive index funds, increasing market concerns about potential delisting.
JPMorgan Warns of Potential $2.8B Selloff if MicroStrategy Removed from MSCI Indexes
JPMorgan analysts highlighted the risk that MicroStrategy could face significant selling pressure if MSCI excludes it from indexes like MSCI USA and MSCI World, estimating a $2.8 billion forced sale, which increased market caution about delisting possibilities.
Analyst downplays MSCI delisting risk for MicroStrategy amid Bitcoin price rise
December 31 surges to 84%51%
Jeff Dorman, CIO at Arca, stated that the biggest risk to MicroStrategy is not MSCI delisting or Bitcoin price drops, but the stock price not rising with Bitcoin. This reassured investors about MSCI inclusion risks.
Analyst downplays risk of MSCI delisting for MicroStrategy
December 31 drops to 27%6%
Jeff Dorman, CIO at Arca, publicly stated that the risk of MicroStrategy being removed from MSCI indexes was not a significant threat, pushing back against market fears and temporarily stabilizing sentiment.
JPMorgan warns of $2.8 billion outflows if MicroStrategy is removed from MSCI indexes
December 31 plunges to 27%29%
JPMorgan analysts highlighted the risk of significant capital outflows from MicroStrategy if MSCI excludes it due to Bitcoin holdings, underscoring market concerns and influencing price volatility in early 2026.
MSCI clarifies it will retain MicroStrategy in its indexes with limitations
December 31 surges to 56%24%
MSCI announced it would keep MicroStrategy in its flagship indexes but limit new share weighting, alleviating some concerns about delisting and supporting liquidity. This clarification led to a rally in MicroStrategy shares and reduced delisting fears.
MSCI clarifies it will not exclude digital asset treasury firms including MicroStrategy
December 31 surges to 58%31%
MSCI's clarification removed uncertainty about the potential exclusion of MicroStrategy from its indexes, leading to a rally in MicroStrategy's stock and increased market confidence in the December 31 outcome.
Market reacts to ongoing uncertainty over MicroStrategy MSCI index status
December 31 plunges to 27%22%
With no official MSCI removal announcement, market sentiment remained cautious, reflected in fluctuating prices as investors weighed the risk of potential exclusion against MicroStrategy's lobbying efforts.
MSCI imposes constraints on MicroStrategy’s index inclusion despite retaining stock
December 31 drops to 34%7%
MSCI decided to keep MicroStrategy in its indexes but imposed restrictions such as freezing share count adjustments and deferring additions, limiting future passive inflows. This decision maintained MicroStrategy’s index presence but capped potential growth from passive investment flows, sustaining market uncertainty.
MSCI World Index rebalancing effective, MicroStrategy remains included
December 31 dips to 32%1%
The MSCI World Index rebalancing took effect at the close of trading on February 27, 2026, with MicroStrategy retained in the index as per MSCI's earlier announcement, confirming no delisting or transfer occurred during this quarterly review.
MSCI World Index rebalance excludes some U.S. stocks but retains MicroStrategy
December 31 plunges to 27%29%
MSCI implemented its February 2026 index rebalance, removing 27 firms and adding 18, with a net reduction in U.S. stocks. Despite the reshuffle, MicroStrategy was not expelled from the MSCI World Index, reflecting MSCI's decision to maintain digital asset treasury companies in the index for now.
MSCI World Index rebalance confirms MicroStrategy remains included
December 31 surges to 56%26%
MSCI's quarterly rebalance, effective March 2, 2026, confirmed that MicroStrategy would not be expelled from the MSCI World Index, despite a net reduction in U.S. stocks. This reassured investors and caused a temporary price increase.
MSCI announces major portfolio reshuffle but retains MicroStrategy in indexes
December 31 surges to 58%24%
MSCI announced a significant rebalance of the MSCI World Index effective March 2, 2026, removing 27 firms but explicitly deciding not to expel MicroStrategy and similar digital asset treasury companies. This decision reassured investors and caused a price increase in the December 31 outcome.
MSCI World Index rebalance set for March 2, 2026 – MicroStrategy not slated for removal
December 31 plunges to 41%18%
MSCI announced the upcoming rebalance effective March 2, 2026, which added 18 firms and removed 27, but confirmed MicroStrategy would not be among the deletions. The announcement caused a brief dip in ‘Yes’ as the market priced the upcoming turnover.
MSCI World Index rebalancing maintains MicroStrategy inclusion amid portfolio reshuffle
December 31 rises to 32%2%
MSCI's February 2026 index review included a portfolio reshuffle but retained MicroStrategy in the MSCI World Index, avoiding exclusion and supporting stock stability through March 2026.
MSCI World Index Rebalance Retains MicroStrategy Despite Portfolio Reshuffle
December 31 surges to 56%23%
MSCI announced a major portfolio reshuffle effective March 2, 2026, removing 27 firms but retaining MicroStrategy in the MSCI World Index, including digital asset treasury companies. This decision alleviated immediate delisting fears and supported MicroStrategy's index inclusion probabilities.
MSCI World Index rebalancing excludes MicroStrategy removal
December 31 surges to 84%51%
MSCI executed its quarterly rebalancing for the MSCI World Index, adding and removing several firms but notably retaining MicroStrategy despite its crypto-heavy balance sheet. This reassured investors about MicroStrategy's continued index inclusion at least through March 2026.
MSCI implements February 2026 index changes with no delisting of MicroStrategy
December 31 dips to 32%1%
MSCI implemented its February 2026 index changes as scheduled, with no removal of MicroStrategy from the MSCI World or USA indexes. This official confirmation ended speculation of immediate delisting but left the company under ongoing review, maintaining some market uncertainty.
Market reacts to MSCI constraints on MicroStrategy's index inclusion
December 31 plunges to 28%24%
Following MSCI's decision to retain MicroStrategy but impose constraints on its index inclusion, the market sharply reduced the probability of MicroStrategy remaining in the indexes by December 31 and June 30. This reflected investor concerns about the company's limited future index growth and ongoing risk of eventual removal.
MicroStrategy intensifies lobbying efforts to remain in MSCI indexes amid Bitcoin holdings expansion
December 31 jumps to 41%6%
MicroStrategy, led by Michael Saylor, increased lobbying to emphasize its software business and strategic Bitcoin use, aiming to counter MSCI's criteria that could exclude firms with dominant crypto assets, influencing market sentiment positively.
MicroStrategy stock price declines amid Bitcoin volatility and MSCI exclusion fears
December 31 plunges to 53%19%
Following warnings and ongoing MSCI consultation, MicroStrategy's stock price dropped significantly due to Bitcoin price declines and investor concerns over potential index exclusion, reflecting heightened market volatility and risk perception.
Bitcoin crashes $16,000 as IREN joins MSCI USA Index alongside MicroStrategy
December 31 drops to 52%7%
While IREN Limited joined the MSCI USA Index, Bitcoin experienced a significant price crash. Despite the crypto market volatility, MSCI's inclusion of crypto-linked firms like MicroStrategy and IREN signaled institutional acceptance, influencing market dynamics.
IREN Limited announces addition to MSCI USA Index, joining MicroStrategy
December 31 dips to 52%3%
IREN Limited announced it would be added to the MSCI USA Index on February 27, becoming the second crypto-linked firm in the index after MicroStrategy. This highlighted MSCI's continued acceptance of crypto-related companies, indirectly supporting MicroStrategy's position.
MicroStrategy pushes back against MSCI's delisting proposal calling it discriminatory
December 31 plunges to 58%16%
MicroStrategy publicly criticized MSCI's proposal to exclude companies with significant digital asset holdings, calling it discriminatory and unworkable. This statement influenced market sentiment, contributing to price fluctuations in the prediction market.
Another crypto firm added to MSCI USA Index amid ongoing debate
December 31 drops to 53%5%
IREN Limited was added to the MSCI USA Index, highlighting ongoing discussions about crypto-heavy companies' place in major stock indices. MicroStrategy had previously pushed back against MSCI's exclusion proposals, calling them discriminatory.
IREN Limited added to MSCI USA Index, MicroStrategy faces MSCI proposal pushback
December 31 surges to 75%23%
On February 13, 2026, IREN Limited was added to the MSCI USA Index, while MicroStrategy (now Strategy Inc.) publicly opposed MSCI's proposal, calling it discriminatory and unworkable. This event highlighted the ongoing debate about MicroStrategy's index status and influenced market speculation about potential delisting.
Market reports confirm MicroStrategy remains in MSCI indexes after February review
June 30 rises to 15%1%
Following the MSCI February 2026 Index Review, market reports confirmed that MicroStrategy was not removed from the MSCI World or USA indexes, reinforcing the official decision and stabilizing investor sentiment.
MSCI announces February 2026 Index Review results with no removal of MicroStrategy
December 31 plunges to 58%16%
MSCI announced the list of additions and deletions for its February 2026 Index Review, implementing changes effective February 27, 2026. MicroStrategy was not removed from the MSCI World or MSCI USA Index, confirming its continued inclusion.
MSCI Announces Decision to Retain Digital Asset Treasury Companies in Indexes
December 31 plunges to 18%34%
MSCI announced it would not proceed with a proposal to exclude Digital Asset Treasury Companies from its Global Investable Market Indexes during the February 2026 review, retaining MicroStrategy in MSCI indexes.
MSCI publishes February 2026 Index Review results with multiple deletions and additions
December 31 rises to 62%3%
MSCI released the detailed list of securities added and deleted from its indexes, including the MSCI World and MSCI USA indexes. This review confirmed the companies affected and set the stage for the February 27 implementation, impacting MicroStrategy's market perception regarding its index status.
MicroStrategy intensifies lobbying efforts to remain in MSCI indexes
December 31 jumps to 49%8%
MicroStrategy's Chairman Michael Saylor actively engaged MSCI to argue the company's software business and Bitcoin strategy justify continued index inclusion, aiming to prevent forced sell-offs and maintain passive investment inflows.
MSCI announces February 2026 Index Review results with no removal of MicroStrategy
December 31 dips to 32%1%
MSCI published the results of its February 2026 Index Review, confirming that MicroStrategy remains included in the MSCI World and USA indexes. This official announcement confirmed the company's continued index membership, influencing market pricing accordingly.
MSCI February 2026 Index Review results published with no removal of MicroStrategy
June 30 plunges to 22%40%
MSCI published detailed rebalancing information confirming no removal or transfer of MicroStrategy from the MSCI World or MSCI USA Index as part of the February 2026 quarterly rebalancing, maintaining its index inclusion status.
MSCI releases February 2026 Index Review results, retains digital asset treasury companies
December 31 surges to 74%15%
MSCI reversed an earlier proposal to exclude digital asset treasury companies like MicroStrategy from its indexes, maintaining their inclusion based on significant investor feedback. This decision temporarily boosted confidence in MicroStrategy's index status.
MSCI February Index Review Confirms MicroStrategy Retains Index Treatment
December 31 plunges to 55%15%
The official results of the February Index Review confirmed that MSCI abandoned its previously floated proposal to exclude digital asset treasury companies, allowing MicroStrategy to retain its index treatment.
MSCI February 2026 Index Review confirms MicroStrategy remains in indexes
December 31 surges to 56%23%
MSCI's February 2026 Index Review officially maintained MicroStrategy's inclusion in the MSCI World and MSCI USA indexes, confirming the earlier decision to keep digital asset treasury companies in the indexes with some restrictions on share adjustments.
MSCI Announces February 2026 Index Review Results Confirming DAT Status Quo
June 30 dips to 18%4%
MSCI officially announced the results of its February 2026 Index Review, implementing its earlier decision to pause exclusions of digital asset treasury companies and keeping MicroStrategy in its indexes.
MSCI pauses planned exclusion of crypto‑heavy firms from its indexes
December 31 drops to 41%11%
MSCI announced it would pause the planned exclusion of Digital Asset Treasury Companies (including MicroStrategy) from its global equity indexes. The pause removed immediate removal risk, causing a sharp drop in market confidence that the company would be delisted, which pushed the “Yes” probability down from 52 % to 41 % over the following week.
IREN Limited Joins MSCI USA Index as Crypto Firms Maintain Inclusion
June 30 drops to 11%10%
Following MSCI's decision to retain digital asset treasury companies, other crypto-focused firms like Bitcoin miner IREN Limited successfully joined the MSCI USA Index, reinforcing the sector's index eligibility.
MSCI February 2026 Index Review announcement scheduled for February 10
December 31 jumps to 58%6%
MSCI announced that changes to its indexes, including additions and deletions, would be implemented as of February 27, 2026, with the announcement on February 10. Market participants awaited the review results to confirm MicroStrategy's status, influencing market prices during early February.
MSCI announces February 2026 Index Review scheduled for February 10
December 31 rises to 54%2%
MSCI announced the upcoming February 2026 Index Review results to be released on February 10, with changes effective February 27. This announcement set market expectations for potential index inclusions or deletions, impacting MicroStrategy's delisting probabilities.
JPMorgan warns of $2.8 billion forced outflows if MicroStrategy removed from MSCI indexes
December 31 surges to 72%20%
JPMorgan analysts highlighted the risk that MicroStrategy's removal from MSCI indexes due to its Bitcoin-heavy balance sheet could trigger $2.8 billion in forced passive fund outflows, pressuring the stock price. This warning underscored market concerns about the impact of MSCI's potential exclusion decision.
MSCI reverses proposal to exclude Digital Asset Treasury companies from indexes
December 31 jumps to 58%6%
MSCI announced it would maintain inclusion of DATs such as MicroStrategy in its global equity indexes after significant investor feedback, reversing an earlier plan to exclude them. This decision temporarily boosted market confidence in MicroStrategy's index status.
JPMorgan warns of $2.8B forced outflows if MicroStrategy removed from MSCI indexes
December 31 drops to 41%8%
JPMorgan analysts estimated that removal of MicroStrategy from MSCI indexes could trigger $2.8 billion in forced passive fund selling, intensifying market concerns and impacting MSTR stock price.
JPMorgan warns of potential $2.8 billion outflows if MicroStrategy is removed from MSCI indexes
December 31 plunges to 34%18%
JPMorgan analysts highlighted the risk that MicroStrategy's exclusion from MSCI indexes could trigger $2.8 billion in forced selling by passive funds, increasing market volatility and pressuring MicroStrategy's stock price.
If MicroStrategy is transferred between indexes (e.g., from MSCI World to another MSCI index), that will also count as a removal for the purposes of this market.
An official MSCI announcement of removal or transfer will be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution.
The resolution source will be official MSCI communication or a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Market confidence stabilizes on MicroStrategy MSCI index retention
December 31 surges to 53%21%
Following MSCI's decision to retain MicroStrategy in its indexes, market confidence stabilized with prices reflecting a reduced probability of delisting by March 31, 2026. This outcome confirmed the company's continued inclusion in MSCI benchmarks for the near term.
No official MSCI announcement of MicroStrategy removal by June 10, 2026
December 31 drops to 60%5%
As of June 10, 2026, no official MSCI communication confirmed MicroStrategy's removal or transfer from MSCI World or USA indexes, indicating the market's resolution remains pending or negative for removal.
MicroStrategy remains included in MSCI indexes through March 31, 2026, per official MSCI communications
December 31 surges to 61%26%
Official MSCI communications confirmed that MicroStrategy was not removed from the MSCI World or USA indexes by March 31, 2026, resolving the market question with a 'No' outcome for delisting.
Prediction market assigns 63% probability of MSCI delisting by year-end
June 30 dips to 1%2%
Following Strategy's Bitcoin sale and Q1 2026 results, prediction markets increased the probability of MSCI delisting to 63%, reflecting heightened investor concern about forced passive-fund selling and the company's financial health.
Polymarket Delisting Odds Surge to 63% Following Bitcoin Sale
December 31 surges to 60%25%
Following the Bitcoin sale, analysts and traders heavily debated the future of Strategy Inc. Polymarket traders priced in a 63% probability of MSCI index delisting by year-end, causing the December 31 contract to spike to its highest level in the window.
MicroStrategy remains included in MSCI indexes as of June 2026
No official MSCI announcement of MicroStrategy removal or transfer from MSCI World or USA indexes has been made by June 4, 2026, indicating the company remains included in these indexes, resolving the market to 'No' for June 30 outcome.
MicroStrategy director purchases shares signaling confidence after MSCI index inclusion maintained
December 31 surges to 63%28%
Following MSCI's decision to retain MicroStrategy in its indexes, a company director purchased shares, signaling insider confidence and positively influencing market sentiment near the analysis window's end.
Polymarket assigns 63% probability of MSCI delisting by year-end 2026
December 31 surges to 62%36%
Polymarket prediction markets indicated a 63% chance of MicroStrategy being delisted from MSCI indexes by the end of 2026, reflecting heightened market concern after the Bitcoin sale and financial losses.
Market reflects bearish sentiment on MicroStrategy amid Bitcoin sale and MSCI delisting odds
December 31 jumps to 43%11%
Following the Bitcoin sale and shareholder vote anticipation, bearish sentiment intensified with Polymarket assigning a 63% probability to MSCI delisting by year-end 2026, impacting stock price and market outlook.
MSCI announces pause on exclusion of Digital Asset Treasury Companies including MicroStrategy
December 31 surges to 64%29%
MSCI decided not to proceed with excluding companies like MicroStrategy from its indexes, deferring the decision and maintaining current inclusions. This announcement significantly reduced fears of forced selling and index removal, causing a surge in MicroStrategy-related market prices.
MicroStrategy sells 32 Bitcoin for first time since 2022
December 31 surges to 54%35%
On June 1, 2026, MicroStrategy disclosed selling 32 BTC to fund preferred stock dividends, marking a strategic pivot that triggered a sharp stock price decline and increased fears of MSCI delisting due to financial strain.
Strategy Inc. Discloses First Bitcoin Sale Since 2022 to Pay Dividends
December 31 rises to 35%4%
Strategy Inc. (formerly MicroStrategy) shocked the market by disclosing the sale of 32 BTC for $2.5 million to cover preferred stock dividends. This historic shift from pure accumulation triggered a sharp drop in MSTR stock and renewed fears of MSCI index delisting.
MicroStrategy sells 32 Bitcoin, first sale in years, amid ongoing MSCI delisting speculation
On June 1, 2026, MicroStrategy disclosed the sale of 32 BTC, its first Bitcoin sale in years, to fund preferred stock dividends. This event occurred amid persistent market speculation and a 63% probability assigned by prediction markets of MSCI delisting by year-end, reflecting ongoing investor concerns about index inclusion risks.
Strategy Inc. sells 32 Bitcoin, first sale in years, sparking market concern
June 30 drops to 3%7%
On June 1, 2026, Strategy Inc. disclosed the sale of 32 BTC to fund preferred stock dividends, marking its first Bitcoin sale in years. This move was perceived as a tactical pivot amid financial pressures and triggered a sharp decline in stock price and increased speculation about MSCI delisting risk.
MicroStrategy sells small amount of Bitcoin amid market pressures
June 30 rises to 5%4%
MicroStrategy disclosed selling 32 BTC, a tiny fraction of its holdings, to cover preferred stock dividends. This move sparked market speculation about the company's financial health but did not trigger MSCI index removal.
MSCI confirms MicroStrategy will stay in its indexes
June 30 rises to 2%1%
MSCI issued a final statement that it will keep MicroStrategy in the MSCI World and USA indexes for now, effectively ending the removal speculation and causing the ‘Yes’ probability to fall to near‑zero by early June.
MSCI May 2026 Index Review implemented with no removal of MicroStrategy
December 31 surges to 63%28%
MSCI implemented its May 2026 Index Review changes on May 29, 2026, which included numerous additions and deletions but did not remove or transfer MicroStrategy from the MSCI World or USA indexes, maintaining its index status through the review period.
Polymarket Traders Price Rising Odds of MicroStrategy Selling Bitcoin
December 31 jumps to 31%5%
Speculation mounted that MicroStrategy would sell some of its Bitcoin holdings to fund preferred stock dividends, following hints from Michael Saylor during the Q1 earnings call. This raised concerns about the company's premium and index status.
MicroStrategy Reports $11.2 Billion Bitcoin Loss, Sparking Delisting Speculation
December 31 dips to 26%2%
MicroStrategy's reported $11.2 billion Bitcoin loss intensified market fears about its financial stability and potential MSCI index removal, reflected in increased delisting odds in the December 31 contract.
MSCI announces May 2026 Index Review results, changes effective May 29
June 30 drops to 1%5%
MSCI announced the results of its May 2026 Index Review, which could include additions or deletions affecting MicroStrategy's inclusion in the MSCI USA or World indexes. This announcement influenced market expectations about potential delisting.
MSCI Releases May 2026 Index Review Additions and Deletions
MSCI announced its scheduled May 2026 Index Review rebalancing. While MicroStrategy remained in the index due to the earlier pause on digital asset treasury exclusions, the scheduled review date kept traders highly focused on index composition.
Market prices sharply drop amid renewed concerns over MicroStrategy's index status
December 31 plunges to 26%15%
Despite MSCI's earlier decision, market volatility and Bitcoin price fluctuations caused renewed investor uncertainty about MicroStrategy's index inclusion, leading to a sharp price decline in early May 2026.
MicroStrategy sells 32 BTC to cover preferred stock dividends, signaling financial pressure
June 30 drops to 3%5%
MicroStrategy executed its first Bitcoin sale in years, offloading 32 BTC to cover dividend payments on preferred shares. This move raised concerns about liquidity and potential MSCI index removal, negatively impacting market confidence.
MicroStrategy tokenized stock gains momentum despite past exchange delistings
December 31 dips to 27%2%
The tokenized stock of MicroStrategy (MSTRX) showed strong performance and new futures products, attracting momentum traders and indicating market interest, though past delistings on crypto exchanges highlighted regulatory challenges.
MicroStrategy actively lobbies MSCI to avoid index exclusion
December 31 surges to 51%33%
MicroStrategy, led by Chairman Michael Saylor, engaged directly with MSCI to argue against exclusion, emphasizing its software business and Bitcoin strategy as distinct from investment funds. This lobbying aimed to preserve passive investment inflows critical to the company's capital model.
MicroStrategy stock plunges amid Bitcoin sale and MSCI delisting fears
December 31 jumps to 29%11%
Following MicroStrategy's first Bitcoin sale since 2022 to fund dividends, the stock dropped significantly, fueling market speculation about MSCI delisting risks and increasing bearish sentiment reflected in prediction market probabilities.
MSCI announces upcoming free-float methodology revision for May 2026
December 31 dips to 18%1%
MSCI announced a revision to its free-float methodology effective May 2026, which could lead to future index composition changes, keeping market participants cautious about MicroStrategy's index status.
Market reacts to renewed concerns over MicroStrategy's MSCI index status amid Bitcoin volatility
December 31 surges to 53%34%
Investor sentiment fluctuated as Bitcoin price volatility and ongoing MSCI review of digital asset treasury companies kept uncertainty high, causing sharp price swings in MicroStrategy's stock and affecting market expectations for index inclusion.
MicroStrategy Discloses Bitcoin Sale to Cover Preferred Stock Dividends
June 30 plunges to 1%52%
MicroStrategy disclosed a sale of 32 BTC worth $2.5 million to cover routine, mandatory cash dividends on its preferred stock, signaling a shift away from Bitcoin accumulation and triggering bearish sentiment.
MSCI World and USA Indexes Show Volatility Amid MicroStrategy Financial Pressures
December 31 surges to 51%33%
Market volatility increased in late April 2026 as MicroStrategy's significant Bitcoin losses and share dilution raised concerns about its eligibility for MSCI indexes, reflected in sharp price swings and increased delisting probability in the December 31 contract.
MicroStrategy stock briefly rallies amid speculation of Bitcoin purchase and index inclusion
December 31 surges to 54%36%
MicroStrategy's stock price saw a temporary rally due to speculation about another Bitcoin purchase and hopes of maintaining MSCI index inclusion, reflecting investor optimism despite ongoing risks.
MicroStrategy reports first Bitcoin sale in years amid dividend pressures
December 31 surges to 51%32%
MicroStrategy disclosed selling 32 BTC to cover preferred stock dividends, signaling financial strain. This event raised concerns about the company's stability and potential impact on its MSCI index status, causing price fluctuations.
MicroStrategy stock rebounds on optimism after MSCI defers exclusion decision
December 31 surges to 54%36%
Following MSCI's decision to maintain MicroStrategy in its indexes, the stock price rebounded significantly, reflecting restored investor confidence and reduced fears of forced selling.
MSCI Spares MicroStrategy and Other Digital Asset Treasury Companies from Immediate Index Exclusion
June 30 surges to 49%45%
MSCI announced it would not proceed with a proposal to exclude Digital Asset Treasury Companies (DATCOs) like MicroStrategy from its Global Investable Market Indexes during its upcoming reviews, though it froze their index footprint and deferred size-segment migrations.
MSCI consultation on digital asset treasury companies closes without immediate removal decision
December 31 surges to 51%33%
MSCI closed its consultation period on December 31, 2025, but as of late April 2026, no official removal or transfer of MicroStrategy from MSCI indexes was announced, sustaining market uncertainty and price volatility.
MicroStrategy announces additional Bitcoin acquisition, boosting treasury balance
December 31 drops to 18%5%
MicroStrategy issued a press release highlighting a new Bitcoin purchase, temporarily boosting optimism that the firm’s treasury strategy remained strong, lifting the “Yes” probability to 18 % on 2026‑04‑25.
Market prices for MicroStrategy delisting fall to lows amid no MSCI removal news
December 31 drops to 18%12%
By late April 2026, market prices for MicroStrategy being delisted from MSCI indexes dropped significantly, reflecting the absence of any official MSCI announcement of removal or transfer, indicating market consensus that delisting was unlikely by March 31, 2026.
Market confidence in MicroStrategy's MSCI inclusion collapses amid ongoing uncertainty
December 31 drops to 18%14%
By mid-April, market prices for MicroStrategy's delisting probability dropped sharply, reflecting persistent doubts about its index status despite no official MSCI removal announcement, indicating market skepticism.
MicroStrategy faces MSCI index removal risk due to Bitcoin-heavy balance sheet
December 31 drops to 18%5%
MicroStrategy's substantial Bitcoin holdings, exceeding 25% of total assets, triggered MSCI's review for potential exclusion from major indexes, raising concerns about forced passive fund outflows estimated at $2.8 billion. This news heightened market uncertainty about MicroStrategy's index status.
SEC Unveils 'Reg Crypto' Providing Comprehensive Legal Framework
December 31 drops to 19%13%
The SEC introduced Regulation Crypto Assets under Chairman Paul Atkins, establishing a safe-harbor exemption and reclassifying most digital tokens as non-securities, which boosted institutional confidence in crypto-heavy firms.
MicroStrategy reports large Bitcoin holdings amid MSCI inclusion
December 31 rises to 32%2%
MicroStrategy reported substantial Bitcoin holdings and remained the largest corporate Bitcoin holder, reinforcing its identity as a Digital Asset Treasury Company. This supported its continued inclusion in MSCI indexes as of March 2026.
MicroStrategy shares drop amid Bitcoin price decline, no MSCI delisting
June 30 drops to 12%6%
MicroStrategy shares fell 6.5% following Bitcoin breaking below key support levels, reflecting the company's leveraged Bitcoin exposure. However, no MSCI announcement indicated removal from indexes, and the drop was attributed to market volatility rather than index changes.
MicroStrategy announces significant Bitcoin purchase amid ongoing MSCI inclusion
December 31 rises to 30%3%
MicroStrategy increased its Bitcoin holdings by purchasing 22,337 coins, reinforcing its digital asset treasury strategy while remaining included in MSCI indexes, supporting investor confidence.
MicroStrategy's share dilution and Bitcoin purchases raise index inclusion concerns
December 31 drops to 27%6%
MicroStrategy's ongoing equity dilution and large Bitcoin acquisitions raised questions about its classification and eligibility for MSCI indexes, contributing to price volatility and uncertainty about delisting.
Market reacts negatively to MicroStrategy's financial losses and delisting concerns
December 31 plunges to 27%57%
Following MicroStrategy's Q4 2025 earnings report showing significant losses and ongoing concerns about MSCI delisting risk, market confidence dropped sharply, reflecting fears about the company's financial health and index status.
MicroStrategy announces weekly Bitcoin purchase amid rising Bitcoin prices
December 31 surges to 84%51%
MicroStrategy announced a weekly Bitcoin purchase as Bitcoin prices rose, signaling continued commitment to its Bitcoin treasury strategy. This announcement briefly increased market optimism about MicroStrategy's stability and index inclusion.
JPMorgan warns of risk to MicroStrategy stock if MSCI excludes it from indexes
December 31 drops to 27%6%
JPMorgan analysts publicly warned that exclusion of MicroStrategy from MSCI indexes could lead to significant valuation pressure due to passive fund ownership, raising market concerns about potential delisting despite MSCI's retention decision.
Analyst Jeff Dorman downplays impact of potential MSCI delisting on MicroStrategy
December 31 surges to 55%28%
Jeff Dorman, CIO at Arca, stated that removal from MSCI indexes would be marginally bad for MicroStrategy's stock but irrelevant for Bitcoin, suggesting limited fundamental impact and tempering market fears.
JPMorgan warns of significant stock selloff risk if MicroStrategy delisted from MSCI
December 31 plunges to 27%28%
JPMorgan analysts flagged that exclusion of MicroStrategy from MSCI indexes could lead to substantial valuation pressure due to forced selling by passive index funds, increasing market concerns about potential delisting.
JPMorgan Warns of Potential $2.8B Selloff if MicroStrategy Removed from MSCI Indexes
JPMorgan analysts highlighted the risk that MicroStrategy could face significant selling pressure if MSCI excludes it from indexes like MSCI USA and MSCI World, estimating a $2.8 billion forced sale, which increased market caution about delisting possibilities.
Analyst downplays MSCI delisting risk for MicroStrategy amid Bitcoin price rise
December 31 surges to 84%51%
Jeff Dorman, CIO at Arca, stated that the biggest risk to MicroStrategy is not MSCI delisting or Bitcoin price drops, but the stock price not rising with Bitcoin. This reassured investors about MSCI inclusion risks.
Analyst downplays risk of MSCI delisting for MicroStrategy
December 31 drops to 27%6%
Jeff Dorman, CIO at Arca, publicly stated that the risk of MicroStrategy being removed from MSCI indexes was not a significant threat, pushing back against market fears and temporarily stabilizing sentiment.
JPMorgan warns of $2.8 billion outflows if MicroStrategy is removed from MSCI indexes
December 31 plunges to 27%29%
JPMorgan analysts highlighted the risk of significant capital outflows from MicroStrategy if MSCI excludes it due to Bitcoin holdings, underscoring market concerns and influencing price volatility in early 2026.
MSCI clarifies it will retain MicroStrategy in its indexes with limitations
December 31 surges to 56%24%
MSCI announced it would keep MicroStrategy in its flagship indexes but limit new share weighting, alleviating some concerns about delisting and supporting liquidity. This clarification led to a rally in MicroStrategy shares and reduced delisting fears.
MSCI clarifies it will not exclude digital asset treasury firms including MicroStrategy
December 31 surges to 58%31%
MSCI's clarification removed uncertainty about the potential exclusion of MicroStrategy from its indexes, leading to a rally in MicroStrategy's stock and increased market confidence in the December 31 outcome.
Market reacts to ongoing uncertainty over MicroStrategy MSCI index status
December 31 plunges to 27%22%
With no official MSCI removal announcement, market sentiment remained cautious, reflected in fluctuating prices as investors weighed the risk of potential exclusion against MicroStrategy's lobbying efforts.
MSCI imposes constraints on MicroStrategy’s index inclusion despite retaining stock
December 31 drops to 34%7%
MSCI decided to keep MicroStrategy in its indexes but imposed restrictions such as freezing share count adjustments and deferring additions, limiting future passive inflows. This decision maintained MicroStrategy’s index presence but capped potential growth from passive investment flows, sustaining market uncertainty.
MSCI World Index rebalancing effective, MicroStrategy remains included
December 31 dips to 32%1%
The MSCI World Index rebalancing took effect at the close of trading on February 27, 2026, with MicroStrategy retained in the index as per MSCI's earlier announcement, confirming no delisting or transfer occurred during this quarterly review.
MSCI World Index rebalance excludes some U.S. stocks but retains MicroStrategy
December 31 plunges to 27%29%
MSCI implemented its February 2026 index rebalance, removing 27 firms and adding 18, with a net reduction in U.S. stocks. Despite the reshuffle, MicroStrategy was not expelled from the MSCI World Index, reflecting MSCI's decision to maintain digital asset treasury companies in the index for now.
MSCI World Index rebalance confirms MicroStrategy remains included
December 31 surges to 56%26%
MSCI's quarterly rebalance, effective March 2, 2026, confirmed that MicroStrategy would not be expelled from the MSCI World Index, despite a net reduction in U.S. stocks. This reassured investors and caused a temporary price increase.
MSCI announces major portfolio reshuffle but retains MicroStrategy in indexes
December 31 surges to 58%24%
MSCI announced a significant rebalance of the MSCI World Index effective March 2, 2026, removing 27 firms but explicitly deciding not to expel MicroStrategy and similar digital asset treasury companies. This decision reassured investors and caused a price increase in the December 31 outcome.
MSCI World Index rebalance set for March 2, 2026 – MicroStrategy not slated for removal
December 31 plunges to 41%18%
MSCI announced the upcoming rebalance effective March 2, 2026, which added 18 firms and removed 27, but confirmed MicroStrategy would not be among the deletions. The announcement caused a brief dip in ‘Yes’ as the market priced the upcoming turnover.
MSCI World Index rebalancing maintains MicroStrategy inclusion amid portfolio reshuffle
December 31 rises to 32%2%
MSCI's February 2026 index review included a portfolio reshuffle but retained MicroStrategy in the MSCI World Index, avoiding exclusion and supporting stock stability through March 2026.
MSCI World Index Rebalance Retains MicroStrategy Despite Portfolio Reshuffle
December 31 surges to 56%23%
MSCI announced a major portfolio reshuffle effective March 2, 2026, removing 27 firms but retaining MicroStrategy in the MSCI World Index, including digital asset treasury companies. This decision alleviated immediate delisting fears and supported MicroStrategy's index inclusion probabilities.
MSCI World Index rebalancing excludes MicroStrategy removal
December 31 surges to 84%51%
MSCI executed its quarterly rebalancing for the MSCI World Index, adding and removing several firms but notably retaining MicroStrategy despite its crypto-heavy balance sheet. This reassured investors about MicroStrategy's continued index inclusion at least through March 2026.
MSCI implements February 2026 index changes with no delisting of MicroStrategy
December 31 dips to 32%1%
MSCI implemented its February 2026 index changes as scheduled, with no removal of MicroStrategy from the MSCI World or USA indexes. This official confirmation ended speculation of immediate delisting but left the company under ongoing review, maintaining some market uncertainty.
Market reacts to MSCI constraints on MicroStrategy's index inclusion
December 31 plunges to 28%24%
Following MSCI's decision to retain MicroStrategy but impose constraints on its index inclusion, the market sharply reduced the probability of MicroStrategy remaining in the indexes by December 31 and June 30. This reflected investor concerns about the company's limited future index growth and ongoing risk of eventual removal.
MicroStrategy intensifies lobbying efforts to remain in MSCI indexes amid Bitcoin holdings expansion
December 31 jumps to 41%6%
MicroStrategy, led by Michael Saylor, increased lobbying to emphasize its software business and strategic Bitcoin use, aiming to counter MSCI's criteria that could exclude firms with dominant crypto assets, influencing market sentiment positively.
MicroStrategy stock price declines amid Bitcoin volatility and MSCI exclusion fears
December 31 plunges to 53%19%
Following warnings and ongoing MSCI consultation, MicroStrategy's stock price dropped significantly due to Bitcoin price declines and investor concerns over potential index exclusion, reflecting heightened market volatility and risk perception.
Bitcoin crashes $16,000 as IREN joins MSCI USA Index alongside MicroStrategy
December 31 drops to 52%7%
While IREN Limited joined the MSCI USA Index, Bitcoin experienced a significant price crash. Despite the crypto market volatility, MSCI's inclusion of crypto-linked firms like MicroStrategy and IREN signaled institutional acceptance, influencing market dynamics.
IREN Limited announces addition to MSCI USA Index, joining MicroStrategy
December 31 dips to 52%3%
IREN Limited announced it would be added to the MSCI USA Index on February 27, becoming the second crypto-linked firm in the index after MicroStrategy. This highlighted MSCI's continued acceptance of crypto-related companies, indirectly supporting MicroStrategy's position.
MicroStrategy pushes back against MSCI's delisting proposal calling it discriminatory
December 31 plunges to 58%16%
MicroStrategy publicly criticized MSCI's proposal to exclude companies with significant digital asset holdings, calling it discriminatory and unworkable. This statement influenced market sentiment, contributing to price fluctuations in the prediction market.
Another crypto firm added to MSCI USA Index amid ongoing debate
December 31 drops to 53%5%
IREN Limited was added to the MSCI USA Index, highlighting ongoing discussions about crypto-heavy companies' place in major stock indices. MicroStrategy had previously pushed back against MSCI's exclusion proposals, calling them discriminatory.
IREN Limited added to MSCI USA Index, MicroStrategy faces MSCI proposal pushback
December 31 surges to 75%23%
On February 13, 2026, IREN Limited was added to the MSCI USA Index, while MicroStrategy (now Strategy Inc.) publicly opposed MSCI's proposal, calling it discriminatory and unworkable. This event highlighted the ongoing debate about MicroStrategy's index status and influenced market speculation about potential delisting.
Market reports confirm MicroStrategy remains in MSCI indexes after February review
June 30 rises to 15%1%
Following the MSCI February 2026 Index Review, market reports confirmed that MicroStrategy was not removed from the MSCI World or USA indexes, reinforcing the official decision and stabilizing investor sentiment.
MSCI announces February 2026 Index Review results with no removal of MicroStrategy
December 31 plunges to 58%16%
MSCI announced the list of additions and deletions for its February 2026 Index Review, implementing changes effective February 27, 2026. MicroStrategy was not removed from the MSCI World or MSCI USA Index, confirming its continued inclusion.
MSCI Announces Decision to Retain Digital Asset Treasury Companies in Indexes
December 31 plunges to 18%34%
MSCI announced it would not proceed with a proposal to exclude Digital Asset Treasury Companies from its Global Investable Market Indexes during the February 2026 review, retaining MicroStrategy in MSCI indexes.
MSCI publishes February 2026 Index Review results with multiple deletions and additions
December 31 rises to 62%3%
MSCI released the detailed list of securities added and deleted from its indexes, including the MSCI World and MSCI USA indexes. This review confirmed the companies affected and set the stage for the February 27 implementation, impacting MicroStrategy's market perception regarding its index status.
MicroStrategy intensifies lobbying efforts to remain in MSCI indexes
December 31 jumps to 49%8%
MicroStrategy's Chairman Michael Saylor actively engaged MSCI to argue the company's software business and Bitcoin strategy justify continued index inclusion, aiming to prevent forced sell-offs and maintain passive investment inflows.
MSCI announces February 2026 Index Review results with no removal of MicroStrategy
December 31 dips to 32%1%
MSCI published the results of its February 2026 Index Review, confirming that MicroStrategy remains included in the MSCI World and USA indexes. This official announcement confirmed the company's continued index membership, influencing market pricing accordingly.
MSCI February 2026 Index Review results published with no removal of MicroStrategy
June 30 plunges to 22%40%
MSCI published detailed rebalancing information confirming no removal or transfer of MicroStrategy from the MSCI World or MSCI USA Index as part of the February 2026 quarterly rebalancing, maintaining its index inclusion status.
MSCI releases February 2026 Index Review results, retains digital asset treasury companies
December 31 surges to 74%15%
MSCI reversed an earlier proposal to exclude digital asset treasury companies like MicroStrategy from its indexes, maintaining their inclusion based on significant investor feedback. This decision temporarily boosted confidence in MicroStrategy's index status.
MSCI February Index Review Confirms MicroStrategy Retains Index Treatment
December 31 plunges to 55%15%
The official results of the February Index Review confirmed that MSCI abandoned its previously floated proposal to exclude digital asset treasury companies, allowing MicroStrategy to retain its index treatment.
MSCI February 2026 Index Review confirms MicroStrategy remains in indexes
December 31 surges to 56%23%
MSCI's February 2026 Index Review officially maintained MicroStrategy's inclusion in the MSCI World and MSCI USA indexes, confirming the earlier decision to keep digital asset treasury companies in the indexes with some restrictions on share adjustments.
MSCI Announces February 2026 Index Review Results Confirming DAT Status Quo
June 30 dips to 18%4%
MSCI officially announced the results of its February 2026 Index Review, implementing its earlier decision to pause exclusions of digital asset treasury companies and keeping MicroStrategy in its indexes.
MSCI pauses planned exclusion of crypto‑heavy firms from its indexes
December 31 drops to 41%11%
MSCI announced it would pause the planned exclusion of Digital Asset Treasury Companies (including MicroStrategy) from its global equity indexes. The pause removed immediate removal risk, causing a sharp drop in market confidence that the company would be delisted, which pushed the “Yes” probability down from 52 % to 41 % over the following week.
IREN Limited Joins MSCI USA Index as Crypto Firms Maintain Inclusion
June 30 drops to 11%10%
Following MSCI's decision to retain digital asset treasury companies, other crypto-focused firms like Bitcoin miner IREN Limited successfully joined the MSCI USA Index, reinforcing the sector's index eligibility.
MSCI February 2026 Index Review announcement scheduled for February 10
December 31 jumps to 58%6%
MSCI announced that changes to its indexes, including additions and deletions, would be implemented as of February 27, 2026, with the announcement on February 10. Market participants awaited the review results to confirm MicroStrategy's status, influencing market prices during early February.
MSCI announces February 2026 Index Review scheduled for February 10
December 31 rises to 54%2%
MSCI announced the upcoming February 2026 Index Review results to be released on February 10, with changes effective February 27. This announcement set market expectations for potential index inclusions or deletions, impacting MicroStrategy's delisting probabilities.
JPMorgan warns of $2.8 billion forced outflows if MicroStrategy removed from MSCI indexes
December 31 surges to 72%20%
JPMorgan analysts highlighted the risk that MicroStrategy's removal from MSCI indexes due to its Bitcoin-heavy balance sheet could trigger $2.8 billion in forced passive fund outflows, pressuring the stock price. This warning underscored market concerns about the impact of MSCI's potential exclusion decision.
MSCI reverses proposal to exclude Digital Asset Treasury companies from indexes
December 31 jumps to 58%6%
MSCI announced it would maintain inclusion of DATs such as MicroStrategy in its global equity indexes after significant investor feedback, reversing an earlier plan to exclude them. This decision temporarily boosted market confidence in MicroStrategy's index status.
JPMorgan warns of $2.8B forced outflows if MicroStrategy removed from MSCI indexes
December 31 drops to 41%8%
JPMorgan analysts estimated that removal of MicroStrategy from MSCI indexes could trigger $2.8 billion in forced passive fund selling, intensifying market concerns and impacting MSTR stock price.
JPMorgan warns of potential $2.8 billion outflows if MicroStrategy is removed from MSCI indexes
December 31 plunges to 34%18%
JPMorgan analysts highlighted the risk that MicroStrategy's exclusion from MSCI indexes could trigger $2.8 billion in forced selling by passive funds, increasing market volatility and pressuring MicroStrategy's stock price.
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