US-Iran indirect negotiations, mediated by Pakistan and Oman amid a fragile ceasefire and Strait of Hormuz tensions, stalled without breakthroughs on nuclear enrichment, sanctions relief, or maritime access, driving near-zero trader consensus for high-level diplomatic meetings by April 30, 2026. Vice President J.D. Vance participated in Islamabad talks on April 11-12 but departed without agreement, while planned trips by Jared Kushner and Special Envoy Steve Witkoff were canceled after Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi left for Russia, meeting President Putin on April 27 to shore up support. President Trump signaled openness to a deal but cited Iranian leadership uncertainties, with no publicly confirmed in-person encounters involving listed US figures like Marco Rubio. Markets await resolution based on official statements or credible reporting, as phone channels replace direct engagement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$1,955,352 Vol.
30 abr 2026
Donald Trump
<1%
J.D. Vance
1%
Marco Rubio
<1%
Jared Kushner
<1%
Steve Witkoff
1%
$1,955,352 Vol.
Donald Trump
$740,384 Vol.
<1%
J.D. Vance
$687,120 Vol.
1%
Marco Rubio
$65,584 Vol.
<1%
Jared Kushner
$243,608 Vol.
<1%
Steve Witkoff
$218,658 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran indirect negotiations, mediated by Pakistan and Oman amid a fragile ceasefire and Strait of Hormuz tensions, stalled without breakthroughs on nuclear enrichment, sanctions relief, or maritime access, driving near-zero trader consensus for high-level diplomatic meetings by April 30, 2026. Vice President J.D. Vance participated in Islamabad talks on April 11-12 but departed without agreement, while planned trips by Jared Kushner and Special Envoy Steve Witkoff were canceled after Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi left for Russia, meeting President Putin on April 27 to shore up support. President Trump signaled openness to a deal but cited Iranian leadership uncertainties, with no publicly confirmed in-person encounters involving listed US figures like Marco Rubio. Markets await resolution based on official statements or credible reporting, as phone channels replace direct engagement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
Volumen
$1,955,352Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran indirect negotiations, mediated by Pakistan and Oman amid a fragile ceasefire and Strait of Hormuz tensions, stalled without breakthroughs on nuclear enrichment, sanctions relief, or maritime access, driving near-zero trader consensus for high-level diplomatic meetings by April 30, 2026. Vice President J.D. Vance participated in Islamabad talks on April 11-12 but departed without agreement, while planned trips by Jared Kushner and Special Envoy Steve Witkoff were canceled after Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi left for Russia, meeting President Putin on April 27 to shore up support. President Trump signaled openness to a deal but cited Iranian leadership uncertainties, with no publicly confirmed in-person encounters involving listed US figures like Marco Rubio. Markets await resolution based on official statements or credible reporting, as phone channels replace direct engagement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$1,955,352Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran indirect negotiations, mediated by Pakistan and Oman amid a fragile ceasefire and Strait of Hormuz tensions, stalled without breakthroughs on nuclear enrichment, sanctions relief, or maritime access, driving near-zero trader consensus for high-level diplomatic meetings by April 30, 2026. Vice President J.D. Vance participated in Islamabad talks on April 11-12 but departed without agreement, while planned trips by Jared Kushner and Special Envoy Steve Witkoff were canceled after Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi left for Russia, meeting President Putin on April 27 to shore up support. President Trump signaled openness to a deal but cited Iranian leadership uncertainties, with no publicly confirmed in-person encounters involving listed US figures like Marco Rubio. Markets await resolution based on official statements or credible reporting, as phone channels replace direct engagement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes