Amid stalled US-Iran negotiations over nuclear curbs, sanctions relief, and Strait of Hormuz shipping amid ongoing conflict, no high-level diplomatic meeting involving President Trump, Vice President Vance, or other specified figures occurred by the April 30 deadline. Failed Islamabad talks in mid-April collapsed after 21 hours, prompting Iranian proposals to defer nuclear discussions and Supreme Leader Khamenei's April 30 vow to safeguard missile and enrichment capabilities. Trump noted Iran's eagerness for a deal but uncertainty over its leadership fractured internal dynamics, including calls to sideline negotiator Abbas Araghchi. Traders reflect this impasse with near-zero implied probabilities, awaiting official resolution confirmation as tensions persist.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$1,955,352 Vol.
30 abr 2026
Donald Trump
<1%
J.D. Vance
1%
Marco Rubio
<1%
Jared Kushner
<1%
Steve Witkoff
1%
$1,955,352 Vol.
Donald Trump
$740,384 Vol.
<1%
J.D. Vance
$687,120 Vol.
1%
Marco Rubio
$65,584 Vol.
<1%
Jared Kushner
$243,608 Vol.
<1%
Steve Witkoff
$218,658 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Amid stalled US-Iran negotiations over nuclear curbs, sanctions relief, and Strait of Hormuz shipping amid ongoing conflict, no high-level diplomatic meeting involving President Trump, Vice President Vance, or other specified figures occurred by the April 30 deadline. Failed Islamabad talks in mid-April collapsed after 21 hours, prompting Iranian proposals to defer nuclear discussions and Supreme Leader Khamenei's April 30 vow to safeguard missile and enrichment capabilities. Trump noted Iran's eagerness for a deal but uncertainty over its leadership fractured internal dynamics, including calls to sideline negotiator Abbas Araghchi. Traders reflect this impasse with near-zero implied probabilities, awaiting official resolution confirmation as tensions persist.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
Volumen
$1,955,352Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Amid stalled US-Iran negotiations over nuclear curbs, sanctions relief, and Strait of Hormuz shipping amid ongoing conflict, no high-level diplomatic meeting involving President Trump, Vice President Vance, or other specified figures occurred by the April 30 deadline. Failed Islamabad talks in mid-April collapsed after 21 hours, prompting Iranian proposals to defer nuclear discussions and Supreme Leader Khamenei's April 30 vow to safeguard missile and enrichment capabilities. Trump noted Iran's eagerness for a deal but uncertainty over its leadership fractured internal dynamics, including calls to sideline negotiator Abbas Araghchi. Traders reflect this impasse with near-zero implied probabilities, awaiting official resolution confirmation as tensions persist.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$1,955,352Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid stalled US-Iran negotiations over nuclear curbs, sanctions relief, and Strait of Hormuz shipping amid ongoing conflict, no high-level diplomatic meeting involving President Trump, Vice President Vance, or other specified figures occurred by the April 30 deadline. Failed Islamabad talks in mid-April collapsed after 21 hours, prompting Iranian proposals to defer nuclear discussions and Supreme Leader Khamenei's April 30 vow to safeguard missile and enrichment capabilities. Trump noted Iran's eagerness for a deal but uncertainty over its leadership fractured internal dynamics, including calls to sideline negotiator Abbas Araghchi. Traders reflect this impasse with near-zero implied probabilities, awaiting official resolution confirmation as tensions persist.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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