Joshua Van holds the UFC flyweight title after capturing it from Alexandre Pantoja via first-round TKO at UFC 323 in December 2025 due to a freak arm injury, followed by a fifth-round TKO defense against Tatsuro Taira at UFC 328 in May 2026. This recent momentum and active title picture drive trader consensus around his 44.5% implied probability as the frontrunner through the end of 2026. Pantoja sits at 33.5% while recovering for a likely rematch, while Kyoji Horiguchi at 34.2% and Manel Kape at 10.3% await the outcome of their June 2026 bout that could determine the next challenger. Lower-probability names like Taira reflect recent setbacks amid the division's established contender rankings and Van's youth and win streak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoJoshua Van 51%
Tatsuro Taira 34.0%
Alexandre Pantoja 25%
Kyoji Horiguchi 7.0%
$15,297 Vol.
$15,297 Vol.
Joshua Van
54%
Tatsuro Taira
23%
Alexandre Pantoja
34%
Kyoji Horiguchi
31%
Manel Kape
24%
Steve Erceg
2%
Asu Almabayev
<1%
Tim Elliott
<1%
Brandon Moreno
<1%
Amir Albazi
<1%
Brandon Royval
<1%
Joshua Van 51%
Tatsuro Taira 34.0%
Alexandre Pantoja 25%
Kyoji Horiguchi 7.0%
$15,297 Vol.
$15,297 Vol.
Joshua Van
54%
Tatsuro Taira
23%
Alexandre Pantoja
34%
Kyoji Horiguchi
31%
Manel Kape
24%
Steve Erceg
2%
Asu Almabayev
<1%
Tim Elliott
<1%
Brandon Moreno
<1%
Amir Albazi
<1%
Brandon Royval
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Mercado abierto: Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Joshua Van holds the UFC flyweight title after capturing it from Alexandre Pantoja via first-round TKO at UFC 323 in December 2025 due to a freak arm injury, followed by a fifth-round TKO defense against Tatsuro Taira at UFC 328 in May 2026. This recent momentum and active title picture drive trader consensus around his 44.5% implied probability as the frontrunner through the end of 2026. Pantoja sits at 33.5% while recovering for a likely rematch, while Kyoji Horiguchi at 34.2% and Manel Kape at 10.3% await the outcome of their June 2026 bout that could determine the next challenger. Lower-probability names like Taira reflect recent setbacks amid the division's established contender rankings and Van's youth and win streak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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