This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that the listed individual, either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by the listed individual; their involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed individual and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, byJune 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
Trader sentiment on the "Who will acquire TikTok?" market centers on the January 22, 2026, finalization of TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC, a majority American-owned entity (80.1% stake) led by Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX—each holding 15%—with ByteDance retaining 19.9%, fully complying with U.S. divestiture mandates from the 2024 law and subsequent Trump executive orders extending ban deadlines to January 2026. This regulatory resolution averted a nationwide platform ban, addressing national security concerns over data access while preserving TikTok's 170 million U.S. users and ad revenue. Competitive dynamics shifted as Meta's lobbying pressure eased with American control secured, though integration challenges loom. Traders eye upcoming app transitions, board leadership announcements, and potential content moderation policy tweaks as catalysts for final resolution, reflecting strong consensus on the Oracle-led group's effective acquisition.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
Trader sentiment on the "Who will acquire TikTok?" market centers on the January 22, 2026, finalization of TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC, a majority American-owned entity (80.1% stake) led by Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX—each holding 15%—with ByteDance retaining 19.9%, fully complying with U.S. divestiture mandates from the 2024 law and subsequent Trump executive orders extending ban deadlines to January 2026. This regulatory resolution averted a nationwide platform ban, addressing national security concerns over data access while preserving TikTok's 170 million U.S. users and ad revenue. Competitive dynamics shifted as Meta's lobbying pressure eased with American control secured, though integration challenges loom. Traders eye upcoming app transitions, board leadership announcements, and potential content moderation policy tweaks as catalysts for final resolution, reflecting strong consensus on the Oracle-led group's effective acquisition.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Apr 27 2026
Market reacts to continued lack of progress on TikTok acquisition and skepticism about AppLovin’s social platform plans, leading to a sharp
AppLovin drops to 1%8%
Market reacts to continued lack of progress on TikTok acquisition and skepticism about AppLovin’s social platform plans, leading to a sharp
Apr 13 2026
Business Wire reports that Walmart’s recent acquisition of Vizio and its expanded retail‑media platform are being leveraged to integrate TikTok Shop, reinforcing expectations that
Walmart dips to 6%2%
Business Wire reports that Walmart’s recent acquisition of Vizio and its expanded retail‑media platform are being leveraged to integrate TikTok Shop, reinforcing expectations that Walmart will benefit from the TikTok deal
Apr 12 2026
Verified TikTok account @elonmusk posts first video promoting Musk’s companies, sparking speculation about Musk’s interest in TikTok;
Elon Musk / X (Twitter) jumps to 9%6%
Musk also criticizes TikTok’s AI and content
Mar 22 2026
Market volatility amid TikTok ownership uncertainty, no Meta deal confirmed
Meta jumps to 11%5%
Market volatility amid TikTok ownership uncertainty, no Meta deal confirmed
Mar 20 2026
Market
Microsoft surges to 31%25%
No confirmed news of Microsoft acquiring TikTok surfaced, indicating these were likely speculative moves or unsubstantiated rumors[No direct source].
Mar 16 2026
Global Trade Magazine publishes “Oracle & Walmart Secure 60 % Stake in TikTok US Operations,” confirming the deal and describing it as a “major step toward acquisition”
Walmart surges to 22%18%
Global Trade Magazine publishes “Oracle & Walmart Secure 60 % Stake in TikTok US Operations,” confirming the deal and describing it as a “major step toward acquisition”
Mar 1 2026
AppLovin’s announcement of social platform development and job listings supporting this pivot cause a brief
AppLovin jumps to 6%5%
AppLovin’s announcement of social platform development and job listings supporting this pivot cause a brief
Feb 20 2026
Investor concerns and short-seller reports intensify, questioning AppLovin’s ability to succeed in social media and e-commerce advertising, contributing to a market cap drop and
AppLovin dips to 2%3%
Investor concerns and short-seller reports intensify, questioning AppLovin’s ability to succeed in social media and e-commerce advertising, contributing to a market cap drop and
Feb 19 2026
Bloomberg reports AppLovin is preparing to build a social networking platform after its failed TikTok bid, highlighting the company’s shift to compete directly with Meta, TikTok,
AppLovin dips to 2%2%
Bloomberg reports AppLovin is preparing to build a social networking platform after its failed TikTok bid, highlighting the company’s shift to compete directly with Meta, TikTok, and Snap in mobile advertising
Feb 13 2026
Market briefly spikes on rumors or speculation about Meta’s possible involvement or renewed interest in TikTok acquisition
Meta jumps to 9%5%
Market briefly spikes on rumors or speculation about Meta’s possible involvement or renewed interest in TikTok acquisition
Feb 13 2026
Speculation about Meta’s renewed interest in TikTok acquisition causes
Meta jumps to 9%5%
Speculation about Meta’s renewed interest in TikTok acquisition causes
Jan 26 2026
ITIF analysis of the newly announced TikTok U.S.
Walmart surges to 20%17%
joint‑venture highlights Walmart’s “close to finalizing a 60 % stake” together with Oracle, prompting a sharp rise in market confidence
Jan 22 2026
TikTok finalizes deal to establish a US entity majority-owned by Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX, with ByteDance retaining minority stake; no Amazon involvement
Amazon dips to 4%1%
The finalization of the US TikTok deal without Amazon confirmed the market's low probability of Amazon acquiring TikTok.
Jan 17 2026
AppLovin’s CEO and executives publicly acknowledge failure to acquire TikTok and announce plans to develop their own social networking platform, signaling a strategic pivot away
AppLovin jumps to 7%5%
AppLovin’s CEO and executives publicly acknowledge failure to acquire TikTok and announce plans to develop their own social networking platform, signaling a strategic pivot away from acquisition
Jan 15 2026
Elon Musk publicly states he has no intention to buy TikTok, emphasizing preference for building new platforms rather than acquiring legacy ones
Elon Musk / X (Twitter) rises to 4%1%
Elon Musk publicly states he has no intention to buy TikTok, emphasizing preference for building new platforms rather than acquiring legacy ones
Dec 29 2025
AppLovin’s shares peak again at 16% on speculation of renewed interest or potential deal enhancements, but no official announcement materializes
AppLovin jumps to 16%13%
AppLovin’s shares peak again at 16% on speculation of renewed interest or potential deal enhancements, but no official announcement materializes
Dec 21 2025
Market reacts negatively as AppLovin’s chances to acquire TikTok diminish due to regulatory scrutiny and competing bids, causing a sharp
AppLovin drops to 3%9%
Market reacts negatively as AppLovin’s chances to acquire TikTok diminish due to regulatory scrutiny and competing bids, causing a sharp
Dec 18 2025
TikTok signs deal to sell U.S. operations to a consortium led by Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX, excluding Microsoft from the final agreement
Microsoft rises to 3%2%
The official signing of the deal with Oracle-led investors confirmed Microsoft was not the acquirer, but some residual speculation kept the.
Dec 18 2025
TikTok signs deal ceding US control to American investors Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX
Meta dips to 3%2%
TikTok signs deal ceding US control to American investors Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX
Dec 18 2025
TikTok agrees to cede control of US business to American investor group including Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX, with ByteDance retaining minority stake
Meta dips to 3%2%
Official deal announcements confirmed Meta was not the buyer, pushing
Dec 18 2025
Bloomberg reveals TikTok’s internal memo confirming a binding agreement to create a U.S.
Walmart rises to 5%3%
joint‑venture “majority‑owned by American investors,” naming Oracle, Silver Lake and MGX – reports cite Walmart as a likely partner in the consortium
Dec 18 2025
TikTok and Silver Lake sign agreements to create a new US joint venture, with Oracle-led investor group taking control; Amazon not included
Amazon drops to 1%6%
The official signing of the deal with Oracle and Silver Lake, excluding Amazon, caused a steep
Dec 18 2025
Pattern Group announces acquisition of NextWave, expanding TikTok Shop capabilities and integrating with Amazon's marketplace
Amazon rises to 5%4%
This partnership news between TikTok commerce and Amazon's marketplace may have slightly supported Amazon's perceived involvement in TikTok's ecosystem.
Dec 16 2025
Deadline extended to January 23, 2026, for TikTok’s U.S. divestiture; deal talks continue with Oracle-led consortium favored over Microsoft
Microsoft drops to 1%5%
The extension and growing favor toward Oracle and other investors reduced market confidence in Microsoft’s acquisition chances, causing a sharp.
Dec 14 2025
AppLovin’s bid for TikTok assets gains temporary market optimism amid reports of competitive bidding, pushing
AppLovin surges to 44%40%
AppLovin’s bid for TikTok assets gains temporary market optimism amid reports of competitive bidding, pushing
Nov 18 2025
Meta gains an antitrust victory partly due to TikTok’s competitive presence, but no acquisition deal announced
Meta rises to 5%1%
Positive regulatory news for Meta briefly lifted optimism, though unrelated to a TikTok purchase.
Nov 18 2025
Meta wins antitrust victory unrelated to TikTok acquisition but boosts sentiment
Meta rises to 5%1%
Meta wins antitrust victory unrelated to TikTok acquisition but boosts sentiment
Oct 29 2025
Yahoo Finance notes a temporary U.S.
Walmart rises to 5%4%
outage of TikTok and subsequent restoration, reigniting speculation about the pending sale and briefly lifts Walmart’s odds
Sep 22 2025
TechCrunch reports the Trump administration is pushing a forced sale of TikTok’s U.S.
Walmart dips to 2%3%
business and lists Walmart among the “leading contenders” alongside Microsoft and Oracle
Sep 21 2025
Fox Corp. enters talks to join TikTok investor group, signaling increased competition among bidders including Amazon
Amazon rises to 7%4%
The news of Fox joining the investor group likely raised speculation about deal dynamics, briefly boosting Amazon's
Sep 17 2025
President Trump states a group of major companies want to buy TikTok, including Microsoft among bidders, signaling a competitive bidding process
Microsoft rises to 6%1%
The confirmation of Microsoft as a serious contender alongside others kept market hopes alive, slightly increasing the.
Sep 17 2025
AppLovin publicly confirms bid to acquire TikTok’s global operations outside China, proposing a merger with TikTok Global to target the $80 billion advertising market;
AppLovin dips to 5%1%
CEO Adam Foroughi states the bid is an enhancement over existing deals with Oracle and others
Sep 16 2025
President Trump announces a US-China agreement to keep TikTok operating in the US, mentioning Amazon among bidders for TikTok's US assets
Amazon drops to 2%9%
This announcement confirmed Amazon as a bidder but also introduced uncertainty about the deal's outcome, causing a sharp
Sep 16 2025
U.S. and China reach framework agreement to keep TikTok operating in the U.S. under new American-controlled ownership; President Trump announces deal and extension of divestiture deadline to December 16, 2025
Microsoft drops to 5%6%
This announcement confirmed progress in talks but did not specify Microsoft as the acquirer, causing initial uncertainty and a.
Sep 15 2025
U.S. announces a framework deal for TikTok ownership involving American investors;
Elon Musk / X (Twitter) drops to 5%6%
Elon Musk is reported among bidders but no deal confirmed
Sep 15 2025
US and China reportedly reach a framework deal for TikTok’s US operations involving a consortium including Oracle, not Meta, signaling Meta’s low likelihood to acquire TikTok
Meta drops to 3%7%
This news dampened Meta’s acquisition chances as Oracle-led consortium emerged as the favored buyer, causing a sharp
Jan 27 2025
Donald Trump publicly says Microsoft is in talks to acquire TikTok and expresses desire for a bidding war over the app
Microsoft dips to 4%2%
This public acknowledgment by Trump highlighted Microsoft’s involvement but also suggested uncertainty, leading to a modest.
Jan 14 2025
Reports emerge that Chinese officials are considering selling TikTok’s U.S.
operations to Elon Musk to avoid a U.S. ban; TikTok calls these reports "pure fiction"
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that the listed individual, either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by the listed individual; their involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed individual and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, byJune 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
Trader sentiment on the "Who will acquire TikTok?" market centers on the January 22, 2026, finalization of TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC, a majority American-owned entity (80.1% stake) led by Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX—each holding 15%—with ByteDance retaining 19.9%, fully complying with U.S. divestiture mandates from the 2024 law and subsequent Trump executive orders extending ban deadlines to January 2026. This regulatory resolution averted a nationwide platform ban, addressing national security concerns over data access while preserving TikTok's 170 million U.S. users and ad revenue. Competitive dynamics shifted as Meta's lobbying pressure eased with American control secured, though integration challenges loom. Traders eye upcoming app transitions, board leadership announcements, and potential content moderation policy tweaks as catalysts for final resolution, reflecting strong consensus on the Oracle-led group's effective acquisition.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
Trader sentiment on the "Who will acquire TikTok?" market centers on the January 22, 2026, finalization of TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC, a majority American-owned entity (80.1% stake) led by Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX—each holding 15%—with ByteDance retaining 19.9%, fully complying with U.S. divestiture mandates from the 2024 law and subsequent Trump executive orders extending ban deadlines to January 2026. This regulatory resolution averted a nationwide platform ban, addressing national security concerns over data access while preserving TikTok's 170 million U.S. users and ad revenue. Competitive dynamics shifted as Meta's lobbying pressure eased with American control secured, though integration challenges loom. Traders eye upcoming app transitions, board leadership announcements, and potential content moderation policy tweaks as catalysts for final resolution, reflecting strong consensus on the Oracle-led group's effective acquisition.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Apr 27 2026
Market reacts to continued lack of progress on TikTok acquisition and skepticism about AppLovin’s social platform plans, leading to a sharp
AppLovin drops to 1%8%
Market reacts to continued lack of progress on TikTok acquisition and skepticism about AppLovin’s social platform plans, leading to a sharp
Apr 13 2026
Business Wire reports that Walmart’s recent acquisition of Vizio and its expanded retail‑media platform are being leveraged to integrate TikTok Shop, reinforcing expectations that
Walmart dips to 6%2%
Business Wire reports that Walmart’s recent acquisition of Vizio and its expanded retail‑media platform are being leveraged to integrate TikTok Shop, reinforcing expectations that Walmart will benefit from the TikTok deal
Apr 12 2026
Verified TikTok account @elonmusk posts first video promoting Musk’s companies, sparking speculation about Musk’s interest in TikTok;
Elon Musk / X (Twitter) jumps to 9%6%
Musk also criticizes TikTok’s AI and content
Mar 22 2026
Market volatility amid TikTok ownership uncertainty, no Meta deal confirmed
Meta jumps to 11%5%
Market volatility amid TikTok ownership uncertainty, no Meta deal confirmed
Mar 20 2026
Market
Microsoft surges to 31%25%
No confirmed news of Microsoft acquiring TikTok surfaced, indicating these were likely speculative moves or unsubstantiated rumors[No direct source].
Mar 16 2026
Global Trade Magazine publishes “Oracle & Walmart Secure 60 % Stake in TikTok US Operations,” confirming the deal and describing it as a “major step toward acquisition”
Walmart surges to 22%18%
Global Trade Magazine publishes “Oracle & Walmart Secure 60 % Stake in TikTok US Operations,” confirming the deal and describing it as a “major step toward acquisition”
Mar 1 2026
AppLovin’s announcement of social platform development and job listings supporting this pivot cause a brief
AppLovin jumps to 6%5%
AppLovin’s announcement of social platform development and job listings supporting this pivot cause a brief
Feb 20 2026
Investor concerns and short-seller reports intensify, questioning AppLovin’s ability to succeed in social media and e-commerce advertising, contributing to a market cap drop and
AppLovin dips to 2%3%
Investor concerns and short-seller reports intensify, questioning AppLovin’s ability to succeed in social media and e-commerce advertising, contributing to a market cap drop and
Feb 19 2026
Bloomberg reports AppLovin is preparing to build a social networking platform after its failed TikTok bid, highlighting the company’s shift to compete directly with Meta, TikTok,
AppLovin dips to 2%2%
Bloomberg reports AppLovin is preparing to build a social networking platform after its failed TikTok bid, highlighting the company’s shift to compete directly with Meta, TikTok, and Snap in mobile advertising
Feb 13 2026
Market briefly spikes on rumors or speculation about Meta’s possible involvement or renewed interest in TikTok acquisition
Meta jumps to 9%5%
Market briefly spikes on rumors or speculation about Meta’s possible involvement or renewed interest in TikTok acquisition
Feb 13 2026
Speculation about Meta’s renewed interest in TikTok acquisition causes
Meta jumps to 9%5%
Speculation about Meta’s renewed interest in TikTok acquisition causes
Jan 26 2026
ITIF analysis of the newly announced TikTok U.S.
Walmart surges to 20%17%
joint‑venture highlights Walmart’s “close to finalizing a 60 % stake” together with Oracle, prompting a sharp rise in market confidence
Jan 22 2026
TikTok finalizes deal to establish a US entity majority-owned by Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX, with ByteDance retaining minority stake; no Amazon involvement
Amazon dips to 4%1%
The finalization of the US TikTok deal without Amazon confirmed the market's low probability of Amazon acquiring TikTok.
Jan 17 2026
AppLovin’s CEO and executives publicly acknowledge failure to acquire TikTok and announce plans to develop their own social networking platform, signaling a strategic pivot away
AppLovin jumps to 7%5%
AppLovin’s CEO and executives publicly acknowledge failure to acquire TikTok and announce plans to develop their own social networking platform, signaling a strategic pivot away from acquisition
Jan 15 2026
Elon Musk publicly states he has no intention to buy TikTok, emphasizing preference for building new platforms rather than acquiring legacy ones
Elon Musk / X (Twitter) rises to 4%1%
Elon Musk publicly states he has no intention to buy TikTok, emphasizing preference for building new platforms rather than acquiring legacy ones
Dec 29 2025
AppLovin’s shares peak again at 16% on speculation of renewed interest or potential deal enhancements, but no official announcement materializes
AppLovin jumps to 16%13%
AppLovin’s shares peak again at 16% on speculation of renewed interest or potential deal enhancements, but no official announcement materializes
Dec 21 2025
Market reacts negatively as AppLovin’s chances to acquire TikTok diminish due to regulatory scrutiny and competing bids, causing a sharp
AppLovin drops to 3%9%
Market reacts negatively as AppLovin’s chances to acquire TikTok diminish due to regulatory scrutiny and competing bids, causing a sharp
Dec 18 2025
TikTok signs deal to sell U.S. operations to a consortium led by Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX, excluding Microsoft from the final agreement
Microsoft rises to 3%2%
The official signing of the deal with Oracle-led investors confirmed Microsoft was not the acquirer, but some residual speculation kept the.
Dec 18 2025
TikTok signs deal ceding US control to American investors Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX
Meta dips to 3%2%
TikTok signs deal ceding US control to American investors Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX
Dec 18 2025
TikTok agrees to cede control of US business to American investor group including Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX, with ByteDance retaining minority stake
Meta dips to 3%2%
Official deal announcements confirmed Meta was not the buyer, pushing
Dec 18 2025
Bloomberg reveals TikTok’s internal memo confirming a binding agreement to create a U.S.
Walmart rises to 5%3%
joint‑venture “majority‑owned by American investors,” naming Oracle, Silver Lake and MGX – reports cite Walmart as a likely partner in the consortium
Dec 18 2025
TikTok and Silver Lake sign agreements to create a new US joint venture, with Oracle-led investor group taking control; Amazon not included
Amazon drops to 1%6%
The official signing of the deal with Oracle and Silver Lake, excluding Amazon, caused a steep
Dec 18 2025
Pattern Group announces acquisition of NextWave, expanding TikTok Shop capabilities and integrating with Amazon's marketplace
Amazon rises to 5%4%
This partnership news between TikTok commerce and Amazon's marketplace may have slightly supported Amazon's perceived involvement in TikTok's ecosystem.
Dec 16 2025
Deadline extended to January 23, 2026, for TikTok’s U.S. divestiture; deal talks continue with Oracle-led consortium favored over Microsoft
Microsoft drops to 1%5%
The extension and growing favor toward Oracle and other investors reduced market confidence in Microsoft’s acquisition chances, causing a sharp.
Dec 14 2025
AppLovin’s bid for TikTok assets gains temporary market optimism amid reports of competitive bidding, pushing
AppLovin surges to 44%40%
AppLovin’s bid for TikTok assets gains temporary market optimism amid reports of competitive bidding, pushing
Nov 18 2025
Meta gains an antitrust victory partly due to TikTok’s competitive presence, but no acquisition deal announced
Meta rises to 5%1%
Positive regulatory news for Meta briefly lifted optimism, though unrelated to a TikTok purchase.
Nov 18 2025
Meta wins antitrust victory unrelated to TikTok acquisition but boosts sentiment
Meta rises to 5%1%
Meta wins antitrust victory unrelated to TikTok acquisition but boosts sentiment
Oct 29 2025
Yahoo Finance notes a temporary U.S.
Walmart rises to 5%4%
outage of TikTok and subsequent restoration, reigniting speculation about the pending sale and briefly lifts Walmart’s odds
Sep 22 2025
TechCrunch reports the Trump administration is pushing a forced sale of TikTok’s U.S.
Walmart dips to 2%3%
business and lists Walmart among the “leading contenders” alongside Microsoft and Oracle
Sep 21 2025
Fox Corp. enters talks to join TikTok investor group, signaling increased competition among bidders including Amazon
Amazon rises to 7%4%
The news of Fox joining the investor group likely raised speculation about deal dynamics, briefly boosting Amazon's
Sep 17 2025
President Trump states a group of major companies want to buy TikTok, including Microsoft among bidders, signaling a competitive bidding process
Microsoft rises to 6%1%
The confirmation of Microsoft as a serious contender alongside others kept market hopes alive, slightly increasing the.
Sep 17 2025
AppLovin publicly confirms bid to acquire TikTok’s global operations outside China, proposing a merger with TikTok Global to target the $80 billion advertising market;
AppLovin dips to 5%1%
CEO Adam Foroughi states the bid is an enhancement over existing deals with Oracle and others
Sep 16 2025
President Trump announces a US-China agreement to keep TikTok operating in the US, mentioning Amazon among bidders for TikTok's US assets
Amazon drops to 2%9%
This announcement confirmed Amazon as a bidder but also introduced uncertainty about the deal's outcome, causing a sharp
Sep 16 2025
U.S. and China reach framework agreement to keep TikTok operating in the U.S. under new American-controlled ownership; President Trump announces deal and extension of divestiture deadline to December 16, 2025
Microsoft drops to 5%6%
This announcement confirmed progress in talks but did not specify Microsoft as the acquirer, causing initial uncertainty and a.
Sep 15 2025
U.S. announces a framework deal for TikTok ownership involving American investors;
Elon Musk / X (Twitter) drops to 5%6%
Elon Musk is reported among bidders but no deal confirmed
Sep 15 2025
US and China reportedly reach a framework deal for TikTok’s US operations involving a consortium including Oracle, not Meta, signaling Meta’s low likelihood to acquire TikTok
Meta drops to 3%7%
This news dampened Meta’s acquisition chances as Oracle-led consortium emerged as the favored buyer, causing a sharp
Jan 27 2025
Donald Trump publicly says Microsoft is in talks to acquire TikTok and expresses desire for a bidding war over the app
Microsoft dips to 4%2%
This public acknowledgment by Trump highlighted Microsoft’s involvement but also suggested uncertainty, leading to a modest.
Jan 14 2025
Reports emerge that Chinese officials are considering selling TikTok’s U.S.
operations to Elon Musk to avoid a U.S. ban; TikTok calls these reports "pure fiction"
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes
"¿Quién adquirirá TikTok?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Larry Ellison/Oracle" con 100%, seguido de "Microsoft" con 8%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.
A día de hoy, "¿Quién adquirirá TikTok?" ha generado $1 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Sep 16, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.
Para operar en "¿Quién adquirirá TikTok?", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.
El favorito actual para "¿Quién adquirirá TikTok?" es "Larry Ellison/Oracle" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Microsoft" con 8%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.
Las reglas de resolución para "¿Quién adquirirá TikTok?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.
Sí. No necesitas operar para mantenerte informado. Esta página sirve como rastreador en vivo para "¿Quién adquirirá TikTok?". Las probabilidades de los resultados se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que entran nuevas operaciones. Puedes guardar esta página en marcadores y consultar la sección de comentarios para ver lo que dicen otros operadores. También puedes usar los filtros de rango temporal en el gráfico para ver cómo han cambiado las probabilidades a lo largo del tiempo.
Las probabilidades de Polymarket son establecidas por operadores reales que ponen dinero real detrás de sus creencias, lo que tiende a generar predicciones precisas. Con $1 million operados en “¿Quién adquirirá TikTok?”, estos precios agregan el conocimiento colectivo y la convicción de miles de participantes — a menudo superando a encuestas, pronósticos de expertos y estudios tradicionales. Los mercados de predicción como Polymarket tienen un sólido historial de precisión, especialmente cuando los eventos se acercan a su fecha de resolución. Por ejemplo, Polymarket tiene una puntuación de precisión a un mes de 94%. Para las últimas estadísticas sobre la precisión de predicción de Polymarket, visita la página de precisión en Polymarket.
Para realizar tu primera operación en "¿Quién adquirirá TikTok?", regístrate en una cuenta gratuita de Polymarket y deposita fondos usando criptomonedas, tarjeta de crédito o débito, o transferencia bancaria. Una vez que tu cuenta tenga fondos, vuelve a esta página, selecciona el resultado en el que quieras operar, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si eres nuevo en los mercados de predicción, haz clic en el enlace "Cómo funciona" en la parte superior de cualquier página de Polymarket para una guía paso a paso.
En Polymarket, el precio de cada resultado representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Un precio de 100¢ para "Larry Ellison/Oracle" en el mercado "¿Quién adquirirá TikTok?" significa que los operadores colectivamente creen que hay aproximadamente una probabilidad de 100% de que "Larry Ellison/Oracle" sea el resultado correcto. Si compras acciones de "Sí" a 100¢ y el resultado es correcto, recibes $1,00 por acción, una ganancia de 0¢ por acción. Si es incorrecto, esas acciones valen $0.
El mercado "¿Quién adquirirá TikTok?" está programado para resolverse en o alrededor del Dec 31, 2026. Esto significa que el trading permanecerá abierto y las probabilidades seguirán cambiando hasta esa fecha. El momento exacto de resolución depende de cuándo esté disponible el resultado oficial, como se describe en la sección "Reglas".
El mercado "¿Quién adquirirá TikTok?" tiene una comunidad activa de 42 comentarios donde los operadores comparten sus análisis, debaten resultados y discuten los últimos desarrollos. Desplázate hacia abajo a la sección de comentarios para leer lo que piensan otros participantes. También puedes filtrar por "Principales poseedores" o consultar la pestaña "Actividad" para un feed en tiempo real de operaciones.
Polymarket es el mercado de predicción más grande del mundo, donde puedes mantenerte informado y beneficiarte de tu conocimiento sobre eventos del mundo real. Los operadores compran y venden acciones sobre resultados de temas que van desde política y elecciones hasta criptomonedas, finanzas, deportes, tecnología y cultura, incluyendo mercados como "¿Quién adquirirá TikTok?". Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real respaldadas por convicción financiera, ofreciendo a menudo señales más rápidas y precisas que las encuestas, los expertos o los estudios tradicionales.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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