European national teams anchor trader sentiment at 72.5% implied probability, driven by superior squad depth across multiple contenders including Spain, France, and England, who top individual outright odds following Spain’s Euro 2024 title and strong qualifying campaigns. CONMEBOL sides sit at 19.5% largely on the strength of defending champions Argentina and Brazil, though recent group-stage results and injuries such as Rodrygo’s ACL have tempered momentum. CONCACAF, CAF, AFC, and OFC trail due to shallower talent pools and limited historical success against UEFA or CONMEBOL opposition in knockout stages. The wisdom of crowds pricing reflects these structural gaps, with early tournament form and fitness updates likely to prompt further adjustments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Qué continente ganará la Copa del Mundo?
Europa 73%
Sudamérica 20%
América del Norte 3.5%
África 3.5%
$4,021,546 Vol.
$4,021,546 Vol.
Europa
73%
Sudamérica
20%
América del Norte
3%
África
3%
Asia
2%
Oceanía
<1%
Europa 73%
Sudamérica 20%
América del Norte 3.5%
África 3.5%
$4,021,546 Vol.
$4,021,546 Vol.
Europa
73%
Sudamérica
20%
América del Norte
3%
África
3%
Asia
2%
Oceanía
<1%
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...European national teams anchor trader sentiment at 72.5% implied probability, driven by superior squad depth across multiple contenders including Spain, France, and England, who top individual outright odds following Spain’s Euro 2024 title and strong qualifying campaigns. CONMEBOL sides sit at 19.5% largely on the strength of defending champions Argentina and Brazil, though recent group-stage results and injuries such as Rodrygo’s ACL have tempered momentum. CONCACAF, CAF, AFC, and OFC trail due to shallower talent pools and limited historical success against UEFA or CONMEBOL opposition in knockout stages. The wisdom of crowds pricing reflects these structural gaps, with early tournament form and fitness updates likely to prompt further adjustments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes