Trader consensus heavily favors Europe at 72.5% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by the confederation's unmatched depth across its 16 qualifiers—including powerhouses France, England, Germany, Portugal, Netherlands, and Croatia—bolstered by late March playoff triumphs for Bosnia & Herzegovina, Sweden, and Czechia over Italy, Poland, and Denmark, respectively. South America's 20.5% reflects the elite quality of its six entrants, defending champions Argentina, Brazil, Uruguay, Colombia, Ecuador, and Paraguay, despite fewer slots in the expanded 48-team draw completed in December 2025. Lower probabilities for Africa (3.1%, nine teams like Morocco and Senegal), Asia (2.9%, eight including Japan and Australia), North America (2.1%, six led by hosts USA, Canada, Mexico), and Oceania (0.3%, New Zealand) stem from historical precedents, with no prior winners from those continents and tougher paths through group stage and knockouts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Qué continente ganará la Copa Mundial de la FIFA 2026?
¿Qué continente ganará la Copa Mundial de la FIFA 2026?
Europa 73%
Sudamérica 21%
África 3.1%
Asia 2.9%
$1,936,065 Vol.
$1,936,065 Vol.
Europa
73%
Sudamérica
21%
África
3%
Asia
3%
América del Norte
2%
Oceanía
<1%
Europa 73%
Sudamérica 21%
África 3.1%
Asia 2.9%
$1,936,065 Vol.
$1,936,065 Vol.
Europa
$113,469 Vol.
73%
Sudamérica
$185,566 Vol.
21%
África
$965,127 Vol.
3%
Asia
$226,980 Vol.
3%
América del Norte
$202,921 Vol.
2%
Oceanía
$242,013 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Europe at 72.5% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by the confederation's unmatched depth across its 16 qualifiers—including powerhouses France, England, Germany, Portugal, Netherlands, and Croatia—bolstered by late March playoff triumphs for Bosnia & Herzegovina, Sweden, and Czechia over Italy, Poland, and Denmark, respectively. South America's 20.5% reflects the elite quality of its six entrants, defending champions Argentina, Brazil, Uruguay, Colombia, Ecuador, and Paraguay, despite fewer slots in the expanded 48-team draw completed in December 2025. Lower probabilities for Africa (3.1%, nine teams like Morocco and Senegal), Asia (2.9%, eight including Japan and Australia), North America (2.1%, six led by hosts USA, Canada, Mexico), and Oceania (0.3%, New Zealand) stem from historical precedents, with no prior winners from those continents and tougher paths through group stage and knockouts.
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Volumen
$1,936,065Mercado abierto
Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Europe at 72.5% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by the confederation's unmatched depth across its 16 qualifiers—including powerhouses France, England, Germany, Portugal, Netherlands, and Croatia—bolstered by late March playoff triumphs for Bosnia & Herzegovina, Sweden, and Czechia over Italy, Poland, and Denmark, respectively. South America's 20.5% reflects the elite quality of its six entrants, defending champions Argentina, Brazil, Uruguay, Colombia, Ecuador, and Paraguay, despite fewer slots in the expanded 48-team draw completed in December 2025. Lower probabilities for Africa (3.1%, nine teams like Morocco and Senegal), Asia (2.9%, eight including Japan and Australia), North America (2.1%, six led by hosts USA, Canada, Mexico), and Oceania (0.3%, New Zealand) stem from historical precedents, with no prior winners from those continents and tougher paths through group stage and knockouts.
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,936,065Mercado abierto
Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Europe at 72.5% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by the confederation's unmatched depth across its 16 qualifiers—including powerhouses France, England, Germany, Portugal, Netherlands, and Croatia—bolstered by late March playoff triumphs for Bosnia & Herzegovina, Sweden, and Czechia over Italy, Poland, and Denmark, respectively. South America's 20.5% reflects the elite quality of its six entrants, defending champions Argentina, Brazil, Uruguay, Colombia, Ecuador, and Paraguay, despite fewer slots in the expanded 48-team draw completed in December 2025. Lower probabilities for Africa (3.1%, nine teams like Morocco and Senegal), Asia (2.9%, eight including Japan and Australia), North America (2.1%, six led by hosts USA, Canada, Mexico), and Oceania (0.3%, New Zealand) stem from historical precedents, with no prior winners from those continents and tougher paths through group stage and knockouts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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