The ongoing 2026 Iran war dominates trader consensus on Polymarket, with headlines centered on U.S. involvement costs exceeding $25 billion, the Hormuz Strait standoff driving oil to four-year highs, and Trump's blockade complicating his upcoming May China trip. Recent catalysts include the Supreme Court's April 30 rejection of Louisiana's district map, dealing a blow to the Voting Rights Act, alongside House passage of a farm bill and Homeland Security funding amid shutdown threats, plus Trump's Surgeon General nomination withdrawal. Planned May Day protests and potential economic blackouts on May 1 could introduce labor unrest angles, while fuel price surges and resilient 2% Q1 GDP growth keep economic threads prominent through May 3. Markets reflect skin-in-the-game bets on sustained Iran coverage amid rapid geopolitical shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Qué dirán los titulares de primera plana del NYT esta semana? (27 de abril - 3 de mayo)
¿Qué dirán los titulares de primera plana del NYT esta semana? (27 de abril - 3 de mayo)
$24,491 Vol.
Maduro
51%
Warsh
53%
Bitcoin
50%
Ucrania
50%
Rusia
53%
Israel
49%
Hezbolá
51%
Alto el fuego
51%
S&P
20%
Acción
40%
Elon / Musk
51%
Anthropic / Claude
30%
OpenAI / ChatGPT
52%
Ayatolá / Jamenei / Jomeini
50%
Estrecho de Ormuz / Estrecho / Ormuz
52%
Zohran / Mamdani
31%
$24,491 Vol.
Maduro
51%
Warsh
53%
Bitcoin
50%
Ucrania
50%
Rusia
53%
Israel
49%
Hezbolá
51%
Alto el fuego
51%
S&P
20%
Acción
40%
Elon / Musk
51%
Anthropic / Claude
30%
OpenAI / ChatGPT
52%
Ayatolá / Jamenei / Jomeini
50%
Estrecho de Ormuz / Estrecho / Ormuz
52%
Zohran / Mamdani
31%
A headline is defined as the bolded or enlarged text directly preceding each article, previewing the article’s content and typically separated from the article’s text by a black line and byline. The primary headline for each story is the headline for that story with the largest text, typically appearing in bold font and above any other headlines or text for that article.
Sub-headlines, defined as additional bolded or enlarged text not separated from the primary headline by any text, will count, whether they appear before the byline or are partially surrounded by the article text but still adjacent to the primary headline. Pull quotes, however, or any bolded text not adjacent to the primary headline, will not count.
Banner headlines, defined as front-page headlines bordered on the sides only by white space, will count.
Image captions, article text, or any other text that does not constitute a headline will not qualify.
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variations in capitalization, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will not count.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all slang forms, will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
If the listed term appears as part of a compound word, use of that compound word will qualify, provided the listed term remains a distinct component of the compound. This does not include suffixes, prefixes, alternative tenses, or grammatical variations that alter the root word. For example, if the listed term is “joy,” “killjoy” qualifies but “joyful” does not. If the listed term is “sun,” “sunflower” qualifies but “sunny” does not.
If the listed term is part of a hyphenated compound, use of that hyphenated compound will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “NATO,” “pro-NATO” and “anti-NATO” qualify.
If the listed term has non-standard transliterations into English, such transliterations will qualify if they are phonetically equivalent. For example, if the listed term is “Erdogan,” “Erdoğan” qualifies. If the listed term is “Zelensky,” “Zelenskiy” qualifies.
If the listed term is an abbreviation, periodized forms of that abbreviation will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “AI,” “A.I.” qualifies. However, extraneous symbols inserted into a word (e.g. r@d1cal for “radical”) will disqualify it from counting toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the New York Times daily newspaper, including images of the front page posted daily at: https://nytimes.pressreader.com/the-new-york-times/.
Mercado abierto: Apr 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A headline is defined as the bolded or enlarged text directly preceding each article, previewing the article’s content and typically separated from the article’s text by a black line and byline. The primary headline for each story is the headline for that story with the largest text, typically appearing in bold font and above any other headlines or text for that article.
Sub-headlines, defined as additional bolded or enlarged text not separated from the primary headline by any text, will count, whether they appear before the byline or are partially surrounded by the article text but still adjacent to the primary headline. Pull quotes, however, or any bolded text not adjacent to the primary headline, will not count.
Banner headlines, defined as front-page headlines bordered on the sides only by white space, will count.
Image captions, article text, or any other text that does not constitute a headline will not qualify.
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variations in capitalization, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will not count.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all slang forms, will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
If the listed term appears as part of a compound word, use of that compound word will qualify, provided the listed term remains a distinct component of the compound. This does not include suffixes, prefixes, alternative tenses, or grammatical variations that alter the root word. For example, if the listed term is “joy,” “killjoy” qualifies but “joyful” does not. If the listed term is “sun,” “sunflower” qualifies but “sunny” does not.
If the listed term is part of a hyphenated compound, use of that hyphenated compound will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “NATO,” “pro-NATO” and “anti-NATO” qualify.
If the listed term has non-standard transliterations into English, such transliterations will qualify if they are phonetically equivalent. For example, if the listed term is “Erdogan,” “Erdoğan” qualifies. If the listed term is “Zelensky,” “Zelenskiy” qualifies.
If the listed term is an abbreviation, periodized forms of that abbreviation will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “AI,” “A.I.” qualifies. However, extraneous symbols inserted into a word (e.g. r@d1cal for “radical”) will disqualify it from counting toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the New York Times daily newspaper, including images of the front page posted daily at: https://nytimes.pressreader.com/the-new-york-times/.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The ongoing 2026 Iran war dominates trader consensus on Polymarket, with headlines centered on U.S. involvement costs exceeding $25 billion, the Hormuz Strait standoff driving oil to four-year highs, and Trump's blockade complicating his upcoming May China trip. Recent catalysts include the Supreme Court's April 30 rejection of Louisiana's district map, dealing a blow to the Voting Rights Act, alongside House passage of a farm bill and Homeland Security funding amid shutdown threats, plus Trump's Surgeon General nomination withdrawal. Planned May Day protests and potential economic blackouts on May 1 could introduce labor unrest angles, while fuel price surges and resilient 2% Q1 GDP growth keep economic threads prominent through May 3. Markets reflect skin-in-the-game bets on sustained Iran coverage amid rapid geopolitical shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes